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Jacory Croskey-Merritt headshot

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

RB · #40

WAS · RB · Age 25

Redraft rank
RB37
•RB37 · Depth+4 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#158
ADP
RB41
Consensus
Coin flip

Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rookie season saw him lead Washington with 805 rushing yards, but his role is at risk in a crowded backfield.

Role & trajectory
Croskey-Merritt's late-2025 usage was rotational, with a carry share of 37.1% and a snap share under 40%, indicating he is not yet an every-down back despite the coaching staff's push.
Projected outlook
With new signings Rachaad White and Jerome Ford, as well as draft picks Kaytron Allen and Jeremy McNichols, Croskey-Merritt faces competition for passing-down work and short-yardage opportunities.
Risk & schedule
Croskey-Merritt missed roughly three weeks of voluntary OTAs in May–June 2026 due to a soft-tissue issue, which could impact his development towards an every-down role.
Value vs ADP+4 slots of value
Our rank
RB37
vs
Market ADP
RB41
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
RB41 ADP · +4 slots
Notable
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB37 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±19 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 backs most similar to Jacory Croskey-Merritt's 2025 season, 1 finished RB1, 8 finished RB4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%
  • RB110%(1)
  • RB4+80%(8)
  • Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.6 median
1.1p25–p75 4.2–7.412.4
10 most similar players
Justin Jackson83%
2021·RB60 · 6.6 PPG
Tevin Coleman83%
2020·RB110 · 2.1 PPG
Boston Scott79%
2020·RB50 · 6.0 PPG
Isiah Pacheco78%
2023·RB6 · 15.5 PPG
Elijah Mitchell77%
2023·RB63 · 4.2 PPG
Chris Rodriguez77%
2024·RB83 · 5.2 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Backfield Committee

    Washington stacked the room around him in 2026: signed Rachaad White (1-yr, receiving-down threat), Jerome Ford and Jeremy McNichols, and drafted Kaytron Allen (6th round). Touches will be split, capping his weekly ceiling to a TD-dependent RB2/flex.

  • Role Security

    He ceded snaps to Chris Rodriguez over the back half of his rookie year due to ball-protection and pass-protection issues, and the late-season snap/carry-share decline (36% snaps W18) reflects that. Until he proves trustworthy on passing downs, he risks being a two-down back.

  • Injury Concerns

    Reported to be managing an undisclosed (shoulder) injury at voluntary OTAs — dressed but held from team drills, with the staff being cautious. Appears minor; next checkpoint is mandatory minicamp (June 16–18) and training camp in July.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    He led the 2025 backfield in touches (184), scrimmage yards (873) and TDs (8 — most among all rookies), and is the only WAS RB not on an expiring contract, signaling he's the long-term piece. If he wins early-down and goal-line work in camp, RB1 weeks are on the table in Jayden Daniels' efficient run-heavy offense.

  • Offensive Context

    Daniels' rushing gravity and a strong scheme inflate Washington RB efficiency and goal-line scoring opportunity, raising the floor for whoever secures the lead role.

Format Comparison

Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,847—
PPR SF1,575-272