Jacory Croskey-Merritt

RB · #40

WAS · RB · Age 25

Redraft rank

RB37

RB37 · Depth+4 slots of value vs ADP

Tier

Overall

#158

ADP

RB41

Consensus

Coin flip

Value vs ADP+4 slots of value

Our rank

RB37

Market ADP

RB41

Priced right where they project.

What’s driving the season rank

Case for

ADP value

RB41 ADP · +4 slots

Notable

Case against

Projection rank

RB37 · proj. consensus

Notable

Source agreement

±19 rank σ · 2 sources

Notable

Neutral: Age / role

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 backs most similar to Jacory Croskey-Merritt's 2025 season, 1 finished RB1, 8 finished RB4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%

RB110%(1)
RB4+80%(8)
Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.6 median

1.1p25–p75 4.2–7.412.4

10 most similar players

Justin Jackson83%

2021RB60 · 6.6 PPG

Tevin Coleman83%

2020RB110 · 2.1 PPG

Boston Scott79%

2020RB50 · 6.0 PPG

Isiah Pacheco78%

2023RB6 · 15.5 PPG

Elijah Mitchell77%

2023RB63 · 4.2 PPG

Chris Rodriguez77%

2024RB83 · 5.2 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Croskey-Merritt enters 2026 as Washington's nominal lead early-down back after a productive rookie year (175-805-8, most rookie TDs), but the staff deliberately crowded the room — signing Rachaad White, Jerome Ford and Jeremy McNichols and drafting Kaytron Allen — so this remains a true committee. The two key swings are his ball-security/pass-protection (which cost him late-season snaps to Chris Rodriguez) and a minor offseason shoulder issue being managed cautiously through OTAs/minicamp. His edge is contract status: he's the only back not on an expiring deal, and Daniels' run-heavy, goal-line-friendly offense gives the lead role real weekly upside. At a Tier 5 value, he's a reasonable HOLD with modest buy appeal in dynasty — the asymmetric upside if he wins the job outweighs the committee risk, but don't pay an RB2 price until camp clarifies the touch split. Buy-low/hold through training camp; re-evaluate after the preseason snap distribution and his passing-down trust level become clear.

Our read vs. the market

Beta

No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

Backfield Committee
Washington stacked the room around him in 2026: signed Rachaad White (1-yr, receiving-down threat), Jerome Ford and Jeremy McNichols, and drafted Kaytron Allen (6th round). Touches will be split, capping his weekly ceiling to a TD-dependent RB2/flex.
Role Security
He ceded snaps to Chris Rodriguez over the back half of his rookie year due to ball-protection and pass-protection issues, and the late-season snap/carry-share decline (36% snaps W18) reflects that. Until he proves trustworthy on passing downs, he risks being a two-down back.
Injury Concerns
Reported to be managing an undisclosed (shoulder) injury at voluntary OTAs — dressed but held from team drills, with the staff being cautious. Appears minor; next checkpoint is mandatory minicamp (June 16–18) and training camp in July.

Opportunity Flags

Usage & Volume
He led the 2025 backfield in touches (184), scrimmage yards (873) and TDs (8 — most among all rookies), and is the only WAS RB not on an expiring contract, signaling he's the long-term piece. If he wins early-down and goal-line work in camp, RB1 weeks are on the table in Jayden Daniels' efficient run-heavy offense.
Offensive Context
Daniels' rushing gravity and a strong scheme inflate Washington RB efficiency and goal-line scoring opportunity, raising the floor for whoever secures the lead role.

Format Comparison

Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,847	—
PPR SF	1,575	-272

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

1,847

—

PPR SF

1,575

-272