Risk Flags
1- Offensive Context
The Giants offense runs about 10 percentage points below expected pass rate, which caps the size of the passing-game pie even for a clearly defined TE1.
Isaiah Likely
TE · #10NYG · TE · Age 26
START
Isaiah Likely's recent 15% target share in a trailing game signals he can maintain high-end production on his new team, NYG.
Role & volume
In his last four games with BAL, Likely averaged an 11.2% target share and 54.8% snap share, indicating he was a key part of the passing game.
Projected role
Moving to NYG under John Harbaugh, Likely's opportunity should remain strong given his recent production and the fact that star skill players typically maintain their usage after a team change.
Range (floor–ceiling)
With a recent 12.5 PPR points in a trailing game as a floor, Likely's ceiling remains high on NYG, though his exact rank is TE16 according to our value board.
Intel updated: 1 day ago
Current statusNYG
Our read vs. the market
BetaSell-high — we value him below the market
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 26 · ascendingTDs due to regress
- Draft-capital pedigree
Our view vs Market↓ 29 pts below market
Our view
51
Market
80
Long career runway
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)
Opportunity Flags
2- Usage & Volume
Target and snap share are both trending up out of the gate, and beat writers have already described him as the top target for the starting QB and the most consistent offensive player on the team.
- Target Volume
The only in-house competition at the position is a rotational-caliber teammate, and this year's draft capital at the position was zero, leaving an open runway to the position's target share.
Format Comparison
Isaiah Likely — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 2,598 | — |
| PPR SF | 2,169 | -429 |