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Isaiah Davis headshot

Isaiah Davis

RB · #78

NYJ · RB · Age 24

Redraft rank
RB67
▲RB67 · Depth+42 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#298
ADP
RB109
Consensus
Coin flip

Isaiah Davis's 2025 season ended with a sharp decline in snap share, falling from 38% to 13%, indicating the Jets are limiting his role.

Role & trajectory
Davis is firmly entrenched as a RB3 behind Breece Hall and Braelon Allen, with no realistic path to lead-back snaps unless both players ahead of him are unavailable.
Projected outlook
With the Jets signing Hall to an extension in May 2026, Davis's role is unlikely to expand organically, maintaining his status as a low-ceiling RB3.
Risk & schedule
Davis faces significant competition from Breece Hall and Braelon Allen, with the Jets showing interest in retaining Hall via extension or franchise tag, further cementing Davis's backup role.
Value vs ADP+42 slots of value
Our rank
RB67
vs
Market ADP
RB109
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
RB109 ADP · +42 slots
Major
+
Age / role
age 24 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB67 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±19 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 backs most similar to Isaiah Davis, 2 finished RB1, 1 finished RB2, 1 finished RB3, 5 finished RB4+, 1 was off fantasy rosters.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Off rosters → RB1 — directional, not a forecast.

19%52%
  • RB119%(2)
  • RB28%(1)
  • RB310%(1)
  • RB4+52%(5)
  • Off rosters11%(1)
Year-two PPG range7.1 median
2.2p25–p75 5.2–11.618.0
10 most similar players
Chris Rodriguez93%
2024·RB70 · 5.2 PPG
Zamir White86%
2023·RB48 · 5.7 PPG
Hassan Haskins81%
2023·Off fantasy rosters
Jordan Mason77%
2023·RB56 · 5.0 PPG
Kyren Williams77%
2023·RB9 · 20.2 PPG
Alexander Mattison77%
2023·RB36 · 8.3 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid carry shareAge 24 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 17 pts above market
Our view
31
Market
14
Long career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Backfield Competition2

    The Jets backfield remains crowded with Breece Hall entrenched as the lead back and Aaron Rodgers' system preference for committee usage. Davis needs a significant injury or depth chart shift to secure consistent touches.

  • Injury Concerns

    Davis was placed on season-ending injured reserve on January 3, 2026, due to a concussion. Concussion recovery timelines are unpredictable and could impact his 2026 availability.

  • Crowded Backfield

    Breece Hall's free agency status remains uncertain, but his return could reignite talk of a three-headed RB monster with Braelon Allen returning after a season-ending Week 4 knee injury and Isaiah Davis. Davis faces meaningful competition even if Hall departs.

  • Hall Retention Likely

    The Jets remain very interested in retaining Breece Hall (seeking $10-12M annually) via extension or franchise tag, which would keep Davis locked in a backup role behind a younger, more established talent with Hall still only 24 years old.

  • Contract Situation

    The Hall extension removes the prior 'Hall walks in free agency' path that underpinned Davis's long-term upside. Hall is now the entrenched, well-paid lead back, capping Davis's organic route to volume.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    A Hall injury would immediately thrust Davis into a three-down role on an offense with a rejuvenated Aaron Rodgers. This represents significant value unlocking potential given his current tier-7 valuation.

  • Exceptional Efficiency

    Davis averaged 6.59 yards on his 64 touches in 2025, the 3rd-best career average among all Jets RBs with at least 100 touches. His per-touch production proves elite-level talent when given opportunities.

  • Hall Fa Uncertainty

    Breece Hall has been ruled out for Week 18, effectively ending his season and potentially his time with the Jets, and will likely become an unrestricted free agent drawing a top-of-market deal. Hall's departure would dramatically open the backfield.

  • Elite Efficiency Metrics

    Davis averaged 6.59 yards per touch in 2025 and ranks 3rd in career yards/touch among all Jets RBs with 100+ touches. His 5.5 YPC and 8.9 YPR demonstrate legitimate talent when given opportunities.

  • Hall Free Agency Uncertainty

    While the Jets want to retain Hall, he has expressed frustration with losing and may test free agency. Hall's departure would dramatically open the backfield and thrust Davis into a 1A/1B role with Allen.

  • Injury Upside

    Braelon Allen missed 13 of the final 13 games of 2025 with an MCL injury; his availability for the start of 2026 carries real uncertainty. If Allen is slow to return or re-injures, Davis is the clear next man up for RB2 duties behind Hall.

Format Comparison

Isaiah Davis — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest958—
PPR SF787-171