Isaac TeSlaa

WR · #67

DET · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank

WR83

WR83 · Depth

Tier

Overall

#200

ADP

WR85

Consensus

Coin flip

Isaac TeSlaa's 60% snap share in Detroit suggests he could be a WR3, but his current 3% target share indicates limited production.

Role & trajectory

TeSlaa enters the season with a 60% snap share and is expected to see an increased role in Year 2, though he faces competition from Greg Dortch for targets.

Projected outlook

Despite his high snap share, TeSlaa's target share remains low at 3%, suggesting limited upside unless it climbs into the 12-15% range.

Risk & schedule

The risk lies in new OC Drew Petzing's history of slot-heavy usage and the potential for Greg Dortch to compete for targets, which could limit TeSlaa's growth.

Value vs ADP+2 slots of value

Our rank

WR83

Market ADP

WR85

Priced right where they project.

What’s driving the season rank

Case for

ADP value

WR85 ADP · +2 slots

Minor

Age / role

age 24 WR

Minor

Case against

Projection rank

WR83 · proj. consensus

Notable

Source agreement

±14 rank σ · 2 sources

Notable

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 receivers most similar to Isaac TeSlaa's 2025 season, 5 finished WR4+, 5 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

51%49%

WR4+51%(5)
Missed season49%(5)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip

51%hang on~6.0 PPG49%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range

0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.07.7

10 most similar players

Keith Kirkwood96%

2019Missed the season

Jalen Tolbert96%

2024WR46 · 8.9 PPG

Olamide Zaccheaus95%

2021WR81 · 6.0 PPG

Denzel Mims92%

2022WR135 · 3.3 PPG

Demarcus Robinson92%

2019WR67 · 6.3 PPG

James Washington91%

2021WR101 · 4.8 PPG

+4 more analogs

Our read vs. the market

Beta

No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
Despite a 60% snap share, TeSlaa managed just a 3% target share behind Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams, and Greg Dortch profiles as a target competitor for the underneath role under new OC Drew Petzing. The snaps are real but the ball isn't finding him.
Touchdown Regression
His rookie fantasy value was propped up by an unsustainable TD rate (roughly 6 scores on ~16 catches); flat target volume plus TD normalization could erode his production and value in 2026.
Coaching Change
New offensive coordinator Drew Petzing brings an unproven (for Detroit) system; Petzing's history of heavy slot usage (Dortch in Arizona) could cap TeSlaa's path to the WR3 role rather than expand it.

Opportunity Flags

Usage & Volume
Kalif Raymond departed to Chicago, vacating snaps and clearing TeSlaa's runway to the every-down WR3 job in a high-powered Lions offense. Beat reporters peg him for a Josh Reynolds/Tim Patrick deep + red-zone role.
Draft Capital
Detroit traded three third-round picks to move up for TeSlaa, signaling strong organizational commitment that buys him development runway and red-zone opportunity even with modest current volume.

Format Comparison

Isaac TeSlaa — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,580	—
PPR SF	1,370	-210

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

1,580

—

PPR SF

1,370

-210