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Isaac Guerendo headshot

Isaac Guerendo

RB · #89

SF · RB · Age 26

Redraft rank
RB100
◆RB100 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#475
ADP
RB78
Consensus
Coin flip

(insufficient first-party data)

Value vs ADP-22 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB100
vs
Market ADP
RB78
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB100 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB78 ADP · -22 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±11 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 backs most similar to Isaac Guerendo's 2024 season, 1 finished RB1, 7 finished RB4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

71%20%
  • RB110%(1)
  • RB4+71%(7)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.7 median
0.0p25–p75 3.1–7.911.4
10 most similar players
Alexander Mattison92%
2021·RB41 · 7.9 PPG
Salvon Ahmed89%
2022·RB98 · 3.1 PPG
Chris Evans87%
2022·RB105 · 3.2 PPG
Marlon Mack87%
2022·RB84 · 7.7 PPG
La'Mical Perine86%
2021·Missed the season
Darrell Henderson85%
2022·RB60 · 7.3 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns2

    Guerendo suffered hamstring tears two years in a row in college before suffering a Lisfranc injury the third year. In his 2024 rookie year, he missed time with hamstring, groin and foot injuries, and in the season finale suffered an MCL sprain and ankle sprain in the same leg.

  • Roster Survival2

    Guerendo is RB4 at best on San Francisco's 2026 depth chart — behind McCaffrey, Jordan James, and newly drafted Kaelon Black — after logging zero offensive snaps in all of 2025. Special teams is his only path to the 53-man roster, and Shanahan has given no indication that changes.

  • Depth Chart

    Guerendo received zero offensive snaps and zero carries in the entire 2025 season despite averaging 5.0 YPC in 2024, relegated to special teams duty only. The 49ers' acquisition of Brian Robinson Jr. in August 2025 clearly signaled the team does not view Guerendo as part of their offensive plans.

  • Draft Capital

    The 49ers used a 3rd-round pick on Kaelon Black in 2026 rather than promoting Guerendo when Brian Robinson departed. San Francisco has explicitly chosen a rookie over their incumbent developmental back, effectively ending Guerendo's path to fantasy relevance in this offense.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume

    If SF commits to a three-down role given recent injuries/departures, Guerendo has standalone RB1/2 upside with significant touches and goal-line opportunities in a high-octane offense.

  • Injury Concerns

    McCaffrey only played three games in 2020, seven games in 2021 and four games in 2024. If McCaffrey suffers an injury, Guerendo can expect to play 60-75% of the 49ers' offensive snaps, being limited on third downs and running around 15 times per game.

  • Playoff Performance

    SF's aggressive run scheme under Shanahan in postseason play could elevate Guerendo's value if he earns the primary back role during crucial fantasy weeks.

  • Handcuff Lottery Ticket

    Christian McCaffrey has a concerning injury history (only 3 games in 2020, 7 in 2021, 4 in 2024) and suffered multiple in-season issues in 2025 including a stinger. If McCaffrey and Robinson both go down, Guerendo could theoretically see opportunity, though Jordan James would likely get first crack.

  • Roster Movement

    With two years left on his rookie contract at a low cap number, Guerendo is a viable cut or trade candidate. A move to a thin backfield — even a middling offense — would immediately unlock dynasty relevance that the 49ers' logjam denies him.

  • Injury Handcuff

    A multi-player injury scenario (McCaffrey + James + Black) would force Guerendo into action in one of the NFL's most RB-friendly offenses, but this requires catastrophic depth attrition and Shanahan would need to trust him — a trust that has been entirely absent for 12+ months.

Format Comparison

Isaac Guerendo — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest677—
PPR SF550-127