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TE #467
Hunter Long headshot
Hunter Long headshot

Hunter Long

Tier 16

JAC · TE · Age 27

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

250Declining

Hunter Long is a dynasty roster casualty following Jacksonville's aggressive TE investment in the 2026 NFL Draft.

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Long is firmly the TE4 on Jacksonville's depth chart behind Brenton Strange, Johnny Mundt, and Quintin Morris. He has minimal pathway to meaningful targets barring multiple injuries ahead of him.

  • Ambiguous Identity

    Research reveals minimal recent information on 'Hunter Long' as TE#84. Jacksonville's tight end room features Brenton Strange and Johnny Mundt as primary targets, with Long appearing as a depth option with limited offensive role visibility in 2026.

  • Blocking Specialist Role

    Long is valued primarily as a blocking tight end in Liam Coen's scheme rather than a pass-catching weapon, severely limiting fantasy upside even if he plays more snaps.

  • Draft Capital

    Jacksonville used premium capital (R2, #56) on Nate Boerkircher, a 6'5" blocking-first TE from Texas A&M who is already slotted ahead of Long and figures to be the clear No. 2 TE from Day 1 of training camp.

  • Usage & Volume

    Even during Brenton Strange's 5-week IR absence in 2025, Long could only generate 4–9% target share across 4 games — demonstrating he cannot earn targets as a de facto starter in this offense.

  • Position Depth

    Brenton Strange (value: 3239.0) vastly outvalues Long (714.0), establishing a clear pecking order. Long sits 4th on the TE depth chart behind Strange, Mundt, and Morris, with minimal target competition opportunity.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Target Volume

    If Jacksonville's offensive scheme prioritizes tight end usage or Long secures a bellcow role, he has low-end TE1 upside given his physical tools and receiving ability.

  • Injury Concerns

    Brenton Strange missed five games in 2025 with a hip injury, and Long briefly saw increased playing time. If Strange's injury history persists, Long could enter streaming TE territory temporarily.

  • Injury Dependent

    Strange has a documented injury fragility (quad/hip torn ligament, 5 games on IR in 2025); a repeat absence opens snaps for Long, though his ceiling even as a fill-in starter remains very low given historical usage.

  • Scheme Fit

    The Jaguars are reportedly moving away from heavy 11 personnel (1 TE, 3 WR) toward more 12/13 packages, which expands total TE snaps; however, Long benefits only if he climbs the depth chart past Boerkircher and Morris.

  • Regime Change Potential

    Coaching or offensive coordinator changes in Jacksonville could create role expansion opportunities if the new scheme emphasizes pass-catching tight ends.

  • Scheme Familiarity

    Long has prior connections to the Rams coaching tree under Liam Coen and was specifically signed to fit the blocking-heavy 12/13 personnel packages Jacksonville employs, which could preserve his roster spot but offers minimal fantasy relevance.

Scenarios (4)
  • Cut or released before 2026 seasonlikely-45%

    Jaguars carry Strange, Boerkircher, Koziol, and Morris into training camp, making Long the odd man out in final roster cuts

  • Survives as TE4 with minimal relevancepossible-20%

    Long makes the 53-man roster as a blocking specialist/special teams player but sees fewer than 5% target share all season

  • Strange re-injury elevates Long to a startable rolepossible+20%

    Strange suffers another significant injury (hip, quad, or otherwise) for 3+ weeks, forcing Long into a larger role before Boerkircher is ready

  • Boerkircher and Strange both miss extended timeunlikely+35%

    Dual TE injury emergency in Jacksonville forces Long into the starting lineup for 6+ consecutive games, generating meaningful target share

Format Comparison

Hunter Long — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest250—
PPR 1QB3-247