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Hunter Long headshot

Hunter Long

TE · #90

JAX · TE · Age 27

Redraft rank
TE88
◆TE88 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#534
ADP
TE67
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-21 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE88
vs
Market ADP
TE67
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE88 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
TE67 ADP · -21 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 tight ends most similar to Hunter Long, 5 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 3 finished TE3, 1 finished TE4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

55%23%16%
  • TE155%(5)
  • TE26%(1)
  • TE323%(3)
  • TE4+16%(1)
Year-two PPG range8.4 median
3.4p25–p75 4.4–12.313.2
10 most similar players
Michael Mayer79%
2024·TE42 · 3.3 PPG
Dalton Schultz61%
2023·TE11 · 10.0 PPG
David Njoku61%
2023·TE6 · 12.8 PPG
Tommy Tremble60%
2023·TE34 · 4.7 PPG
Evan Engram53%
2023·TE3 · 13.6 PPG
Cole Kmet52%
2023·TE9 · 12.1 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Hunter Long is a dynasty roster casualty following Jacksonville's aggressive TE investment in the 2026 NFL Draft. The Jaguars spent a 2nd-round pick (No. 56 overall) on Nate Boerkircher and added Tanner Koziol in Round 5, immediately relegating Long to 4th on the depth chart. Critically, Long's usage data from Strange's 2025 IR stint (4–9% target share across 4 starts) proves he cannot convert opportunity into production in this offense, removing any 'injury upside' argument. OC Grant Campanile is retained but the team's schematic shift to multi-TE sets benefits higher-priority investments, not Long. At 27 with no developmental timeline remaining, this is a clear sell — dump Long for any offer of value in dynasty before training camp likely triggers a release.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Ambiguous Identity

    Research reveals minimal recent information on 'Hunter Long' as TE#84. Jacksonville's tight end room features Brenton Strange and Johnny Mundt as primary targets, with Long appearing as a depth option with limited offensive role visibility in 2026.

  • Depth Chart

    Long is firmly the TE4 on Jacksonville's depth chart behind Brenton Strange, Johnny Mundt, and Quintin Morris. He has minimal pathway to meaningful targets barring multiple injuries ahead of him.

  • Blocking Specialist Role

    Long is valued primarily as a blocking tight end in Liam Coen's scheme rather than a pass-catching weapon, severely limiting fantasy upside even if he plays more snaps.

  • Draft Capital

    Jacksonville used premium capital (R2, #56) on Nate Boerkircher, a 6'5" blocking-first TE from Texas A&M who is already slotted ahead of Long and figures to be the clear No. 2 TE from Day 1 of training camp.

  • Usage & Volume

    Even during Brenton Strange's 5-week IR absence in 2025, Long could only generate 4–9% target share across 4 games — demonstrating he cannot earn targets as a de facto starter in this offense.

  • Position Depth

    Brenton Strange vastly outvalues Long, establishing a clear pecking order. Long sits 4th on the TE depth chart behind Strange, Mundt, and Morris, with minimal target competition opportunity.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Target Volume

    If Jacksonville's offensive scheme prioritizes tight end usage or Long secures a bellcow role, he has low-end TE1 upside given his physical tools and receiving ability.

  • Injury Concerns2

    Strange experienced hip injury concerns in 2025 (placed on IR Oct 7). If Strange misses extended time, Long could see increased playing time despite his low baseline role expectation.

  • Injury Dependent

    Strange has a documented injury fragility (quad/hip torn ligament, 5 games on IR in 2025); a repeat absence opens snaps for Long, though his ceiling even as a fill-in starter remains very low given historical usage.

  • Scheme Fit

    The Jaguars are reportedly moving away from heavy 11 personnel (1 TE, 3 WR) toward more 12/13 packages, which expands total TE snaps; however, Long benefits only if he climbs the depth chart past Boerkircher and Morris.

  • Scheme Familiarity

    Long has prior connections to the Rams coaching tree under Liam Coen and was specifically signed to fit the blocking-heavy 12/13 personnel packages Jacksonville employs, which could preserve his roster spot but offers minimal fantasy relevance.

Format Comparison

Hunter Long — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest3—
PPR 1QBBest3—