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Harold Fannin headshot

Harold Fannin

TE · #6

CLE · TE · Age 22

Redraft rank
TE5
▲TE5 · Elite start
Tier
T2
Overall
#92
ADP
—
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP

No redraft ADP yet — too early in draft season, or outside ADP coverage.

What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
TE5 · proj. consensus
Major
+
Age / role
age 22 TE
Minor
Neutral: ADP value, Source agreement
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 6 age-21 tight ends most similar to Harold Fannin's 2025 season, 5 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2.

Based on just 6 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

82%18%
  • TE182%(5)
  • TE218%(1)
Next-season PPG range10.3 median
6.6p25–p75 8.6–12.015.0
6 most similar players
Noah Fant86%
2020·TE11 · 10.7 PPG
Brock Bowers84%
2025·TE12 · 14.7 PPG
Chig Okonkwo75%
2023·TE21 · 6.7 PPG
David Njoku57%
2018·TE9 · 9.6 PPG
Evan Engram55%
2018·TE12 · 11.5 PPG
Cole Kmet50%
2022·TE12 · 8.7 PPG
Analysis

Fannin's stock has materially improved this offseason: David Njoku is gone, leaving Fannin as Cleveland's uncontested TE1 with only camp-level competition behind him (the R5/R7 rookie TEs are non-threats). New head coach Todd Monken brings a proven TE-friendly, modern passing scheme — an excellent fit that, paired with a TE10 PPR rookie finish (72/731/6) at just 21, makes him one of the better young dynasty TE assets in Tier 3. The primary overhang is QB uncertainty: Watson has reportedly moved ahead of Shedeur Sanders, but the room is unproven and any instability caps his realistic ceiling next season. His late-season target-share fade (45% to 9% over W15–W17) traces to a groin injury rather than role loss, and his OTA absence is a minor watch item. Recommendation: HOLD/BUY — this is a buy-low-window asset where the path to volume just cleared; acquire now over the next 1-2 years before a 2026 breakout reprices him into the elite TE tier. Sell only if you can extract a premium from a manager overpaying on rookie-season hype.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • QB Dependency3

    Deshaun Watson reportedly entered late-April 2026 minicamp ahead of Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland's 3-way QB competition (Watson, Sanders, Gabriel), with a starter decision expected by June 9-11 minicamp. A Watson-led offense materially caps Fannin's dynasty ceiling given Watson's post-Achilles injury history and the dynasty community's upside case being built around Sanders' development.

  • Offensive Line

    Cleveland's OL allowed 23 sacks in Sanders' 8 starts in 2025. A unit that cannot protect the QB suppresses the intermediate and seam game, forcing quicker reads and limiting how often Fannin can be a full-route option.

  • Injury Concerns

    Fannin re-injured his groin against Pittsburgh in late December 2025 and was ruled DNP for W18 entirely, explaining the W17 target share collapse to 9%. The within-season recurrence elevates this beyond a one-time concern; training camp availability in 2026 should be monitored before any dynasty buy at current price.

  • Target Volume

    Cleveland added KC Concepcion (R1, WR) and Denzel Boston (R2, WR) to a corps already featuring Jeudy, Judkins, and Sampson. More weapons improve overall offense efficiency but compress Fannin's target share ceiling relative to his rookie utilization floor.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Development Path2

    Fannin, 21, surprisingly led Cleveland in receiving in 2025 after the team selected him in the third round, hauling in 72 of his 107 targets for 731 yards and six touchdowns in 16 games played, which made him the TE5 overall in half-PPR scoring. Pro Bowl alternate as rookie indicates exceptional trajectory.

  • Njoku Departure

    David Njoku announced on February 9, 2026 that he will not re-sign with Cleveland, clearing Fannin as the undisputed TE1. Njoku had 33 catches for 293 yards in 2025 compared to Fannin's 72 catches for 731 yards, and his departure removes all meaningful positional competition.

  • Scheme Fit

    New head coach Todd Monken (hired January 28, 2026) helped Mark Andrews to 11 TDs in 2024 and developed Isaiah Likely into a star while Ravens OC. Former players expect Monken to unlock Fannin's potential with his proven TE-friendly schemes and creative usage.

  • Role Elevation

    Njoku officially confirmed departure from Cleveland, explicitly citing Fannin's emergence as the reason the Browns declined to offer an extension. Royer (R5) and Ryan (R7) are developmental depth picks with no path to threatening year-2 starter status; Fannin is the unchallenged TE1 entering his sophomore season.

  • Elite Production

    Among 40 TEs with 200+ routes run in 2025, Fannin ranked 1st in targets-per-route (26%) and 7th in YPRR (1.81), setting franchise rookie records for receptions (72) and finishing TE6 in full PPR. These efficiency marks validate talent independent of usage volatility.

Format Comparison

Harold Fannin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,720—
PPR SF3,375-345