Risk Flags
1- Elite Production
2025 production included 7 TDs against only 4.1 expected (+2.9), a finishing-luck gap that historically regresses and could deflate raw scoring even if the underlying role holds.
George Kittle
TE · #13SF · TE · Age 32
START
George Kittle's 26% target share over his last four games signals he remains a high-volume receiver despite recent concerns.
Role & volume
Kittle has maintained an average snap share of 85% and a target share of 26% in the past four games, indicating consistent usage.
Projected role
As TE7 on our value board, Kittle is expected to continue as San Francisco's primary receiving option at tight end.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his recent performance and consistent snap counts, Kittle projects a floor of around 10 PPR points and a ceiling of over 25 PPR points per game.
Intel may be outdated · updated 7 days ago
Current statusSF
Our read vs. the market
BetaSlight sell-high — we value him a bit below the marketSlight
Why
Strong usage productionElite target shareAge 32 · window closingTDs due to rebound
- Dynasty age curve
- Touchdown-luck regression
- Draft-capital pedigree
Our view vs Market↓ 19 pts below market
Our view
59
Market
78
Elite target shareTD rebound upsideAge-curve risk
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (2 flags)
Opportunity Flags
1- Role Security
San Francisco's 2026 draft capital went to a receiver (Stribling) and a running back (Black), not a tight end, and the only in-house competition is rotational depth (Jake Tonges) — Kittle's TE1 role is fully intact once healthy.
Format Comparison
George Kittle — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 2,260 | — |
| PPR SF | 1,941 | -319 |