Garrett Nussmeier

Nussmeier fell from projected 1st-round pick to Pick 249 due to a spinal cyst pressing on a nerve (causing oblique pain and reduced arm velocity in 2025) plus lingering knee concerns. While doctors say he's asymptomatic since the Senior Bowl and any recurrence requires only a minor 2-3 week procedure, 31 teams passing is an undeniable signal about long-term durability risk.

Nussmeier enters a KC QB room behind Patrick Mahomes (targeting Week 1 return from torn ACL/LCL) and Justin Fields (acquired as the bridge QB2). He has essentially zero path to meaningful snaps in Kansas City barring catastrophic injury to both starters.

Falling from consensus 1st-round grade to 249th overall — dead last among drafted QBs — represents one of the steepest pre-draft valuation collapses in recent memory. The market-wide consensus on medical risk is difficult to dismiss for a dynasty hold thesis.

Learning under Andy Reid in one of the NFL's premier QB development environments is best-case for a developmental stash. Nussmeier's LSU production (4,052 yards, 29 TDs in 2024) showed legitimate starter-caliber talent before the injury-riddled 2025 season.

At a 7th-round NFL pick and ~3rd-round dynasty rookie ADP (SF leagues), the buy-in price reflects maximum medical discount. If Nussmeier's health resolves cleanly, the talent-to-cost ratio is favorable for SF stash purposes.

A QB-needy team could target Nussmeier via trade in year 2-3 of development if he impresses in practice and preseason, converting a cheap stash into a real starter path elsewhere.