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Evan Engram headshot

Evan Engram

TE · #45

DEN · TE · Age 31

Redraft rank
TE32
▲TE32 · Flex play+53 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#215
ADP
TE85
Consensus
Coin flip

Evan Engram's 2025 season saw a target share fall to 14.4%, confirming his rotational role rather than fantasy-relevant production.

Role & trajectory
Engram's snap and target shares have been declining, with rookie Justin Joly (R5) entering the mix as a potential immediate competitor for snaps.
Projected outlook
Denver's TE room is crowded, with Engram projected to play fewer than 42% of offensive snaps in 2026, limiting his fantasy relevance.
Risk & schedule
Engram faces a $14.1M cap hit and a high cut probability (65.7%), with Denver likely to release him before June 1 to save on salary.
Value vs ADP+53 slots of value
Our rank
TE32
vs
Market ADP
TE85
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
TE85 ADP · +53 slots
Major
Case against
−
Source agreement
±40 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
−
Age / role
age 31 TE
Notable
Neutral: Projection rank
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 9 age-31 tight ends most similar to Evan Engram's 2025 season, 1 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 5 finished TE4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 9 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

58%22%
  • TE111%(1)
  • TE29%(1)
  • TE4+58%(5)
  • Missed season22%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range4.6 median
0.0p25–p75 1.7–6.89.0
9 most similar players
Austin Hooper80%
2025·TE43 · 4.0 PPG
Tyler Higbee79%
2025·TE37 · 6.4 PPG
Blake Bell74%
2022·Missed the season
Ryan Griffin70%
2021·TE37 · 4.7 PPG
Taysom Hill67%
2020·TE9 · 9.3 PPG
Kyle Rudolph63%
2022·TE87 · 2.4 PPG

+3 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionAverage target shareAge 31 · window closingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 20 pts above market
Our view
53
Market
33
Age-curve riskTD regression riskHigh draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume2

    Engram played only 42% of offensive snaps in 2025 despite being signed as the 'Joker,' trailing Adam Trautman in recent games with just 23 of 59 snaps. The RJ Harvey emergence as the true joker role player further marginalized Engram's involvement.

  • Snap Count Decline

    Engram played only 42% of Denver's offensive snaps in his debut 2025 season, and he trailed teammate Adam Trautman in playing time in recent games, seeing the field for just 23 of 59 offensive snaps. This severe usage limitation caps his ceiling despite being the rostered "Joker."

  • Contract Cap Situation

    Denver can cut Engram before June 1 and save $3.8 million of his $14.1 million cap number in 2026, and save nearly twice as much with a post-June 1 release. Engram has a cap number of over $14 million in 2026, and analysts do not think he will be on the team with that kind of figure.

  • Age And Decline

    At 31.4 years old, Engram is past his prime TE window. At 31 years old, it's fair to wonder how much quality football he has left in him. His dynasty window is extremely limited for any dynasty league investment.

  • Draft Capital

    Denver drafted Justin Joly (R5 P12), whom insiders (La Canfora) project to have an immediate role and who already carries a higher dynasty value (2021) than Engram. Joly's emergence is openly cited as the move that could push the Broncos to cut ties with Engram.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Potential Trade Value

    Engram is ready to make his pitch to the Broncos -- or anyone interested in his services. A mid-season trade could open a new opportunity if Denver releases him, though his age and contract make this a long shot.

  • Coaching Continuity

    Sean Payton publicly stated before the 2026 draft that Engram is 'a key piece' and that the team wants to 'add to his workload.' That explicit endorsement provides some floor and suggests the coaching staff still values his veteran presence.

  • Offensive Context2

    Bo Nix's continued development as a passer could lift the entire Denver passing game. If Nix takes a Year 2 leap and Payton leans on the short-to-intermediate passing game, Engram is the most seasoned route runner in the room to benefit.

  • Trade Destination Upside

    If Denver trades Engram (analysts suggest targeting a late-round pick), he could land with a TE-needy team seeking veteran depth. However, his $5M guaranteed 2026 salary and age make trade scenarios unlikely, with most teams preferring younger options.

  • Contract Restructure

    Denver could approach Engram about converting non-guaranteed salary into incentives to reduce his $14.1M cap hit. While Engram expressed desire to return, accepting a pay cut seems the only path to remaining in Denver given the threadbare TE room.

Format Comparison

Evan Engram — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest891—
PPR SF794-97