Risk Flags
7- Age Concerns2
At 26 years old, Wilson is entering the typical RB value cliff territory. Third-year backs rarely improve dynasty value after this point, and he has not yet demonstrated long-term standalone starter potential.
- Bell Cow Uncertainty
Wilson operates as a change-of-pace backup behind Josh Jacobs, who remains the clear starter and primary ball carrier. Jacobs was healthy for most of the 2025 season and will retain the lead role, limiting Wilson's consistent volume.
- Depth Chart Risk
Zach Charbonnet underwent ACL surgery in February 2026 with an 8-12 month recovery timeline, meaning he could return as early as October and reclaim Seattle's lead back role mid-season, compressing Wilson's peak window to roughly 6-9 games.
- Draft Capital
Seattle used the 32nd overall pick on Jadarian Price (Notre Dame), immediately installing him as the lead back. Wilson's projected starter role evaporated overnight; he is now a complementary power runner behind a first-round investment piece.
- Touch Competition
Wilson competes with Price, Charbonnet (targeting a mid-season ACL return), and Holani for a finite touch pool. Even in a best-case Price ramp scenario, Wilson projects for a 10-12 touch ceiling per game with minimal target share.
- Target Volume
While MarShawn Lloyd's injury history is severe (only 1 game played in 2 seasons), the Packers still view Lloyd as a future complement piece. Chris Brooks is also on the depth chart and performed adequately in limited opportunities, creating depth chart risk if Lloyd ever stays healthy.