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Emanuel Wilson headshot

Emanuel Wilson

RB · #73

SEA · RB · Age 27

Redraft rank
RB75
▲RB75 · Depth+49 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#333
ADP
RB124
Consensus
Coin flip

Emanuel Wilson's recent signing with Seattle and the team's R1 P32 selection of Jadarian Price caps his volume ceiling, making him a low-end flex option at best.

Role & trajectory
Wilson projects as a complementary power runner behind rookie Jadarian Price, with a carry share that could hover around 10-12 touches per game in the early season.
Projected outlook
With Zach Charbonnet's ACL injury likely sidelining him until mid-season, Wilson has an opportunity to be Seattle's uncontested RB1 for a meaningful chunk of games but faces a steep drop-off once Charbonnet returns.
Risk & schedule
The selection of Jadarian Price with the 32nd overall pick immediately limits Wilson's upside, as he competes with multiple backs for touches and has no long-term dynasty value given his age and contract status.
Value vs ADP+49 slots of value
Our rank
RB75
vs
Market ADP
RB124
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
RB124 ADP · +49 slots
Major
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB75 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±47 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-26 backs most similar to Emanuel Wilson's 2025 season, 8 finished RB4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%20%
  • RB4+80%(8)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range2.8 median
0.0p25–p75 1.8–6.78.8
10 most similar players
Rashaad Penny93%
2022·RB73 · 10.4 PPG
Justice Hill92%
2023·RB41 · 7.0 PPG
Cam Akers91%
2025·RB96 · 1.8 PPG
Zamir White90%
2025·RB92 · 1.9 PPG
Elijah Mitchell90%
2024·Missed the season
Chase Edmonds89%
2024·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionAverage carry shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 25 pts above market
Our view
48
Market
23
Low draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Draft Capital2

    Seattle used the 32nd overall pick on Jadarian Price (Notre Dame), immediately installing him as the lead back. Wilson's projected starter role evaporated overnight; he is now a complementary power runner behind a first-round investment piece.

  • Bell Cow Uncertainty

    Wilson operates as a change-of-pace backup behind Josh Jacobs, who remains the clear starter and primary ball carrier. Jacobs was healthy for most of the 2025 season and will retain the lead role, limiting Wilson's consistent volume.

  • Age Concerns

    At 26 years old, Wilson is entering the typical RB value cliff territory. Third-year backs rarely improve dynasty value after this point, and he has not yet demonstrated long-term standalone starter potential.

  • Depth Chart Risk

    Zach Charbonnet underwent ACL surgery in February 2026 with an 8-12 month recovery timeline, meaning he could return as early as October and reclaim Seattle's lead back role mid-season, compressing Wilson's peak window to roughly 6-9 games.

  • Touch Competition

    Wilson competes with Price, Charbonnet (targeting a mid-season ACL return), and Holani for a finite touch pool. Even in a best-case Price ramp scenario, Wilson projects for a 10-12 touch ceiling per game with minimal target share.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    Wilson demonstrated he can handle a full starter workload (107 rushing yards, 2 TDs when Jacobs missed Week 12). With Jacobs dealing with recurring knee issues in late 2025, a Jacobs injury could immediately elevate Wilson to RB2/flex consideration.

  • Backfield Free Agency

    Chris Brooks and possibly Emanuel Wilson are set to hit free agency in 2026 offseason. If Wilson is re-signed at reasonable salary and Lloyd's injury history continues to plague him, the Packers could position Wilson as the clear RB2 moving forward.

  • Lead Role

    With Charbonnet sidelined at minimum through September-October 2026, Wilson enters camp as Seattle's uncontested RB1 and inherits the full touch volume of a historically run-heavy offense at a clear starter's salary.

  • Usage Opportunity

    Kenneth Walker III's departure to Kansas City in free agency left a significant touch vacuum in Seattle's backfield. Wilson steps directly into 18-22 carry potential per game without a proven competitor for the role.

  • Lloyd Uncertainty Expands Role

    MarShawn Lloyd has played only 1 game in 2 seasons due to relentless soft-tissue injuries. If Lloyd never returns to meaningful production (increasingly likely), Wilson's path to increased opportunity clarifies significantly for 2026+.

  • Rookie Adjustment

    Price never started a college game at Notre Dame and is unproven as a workload carrier. A typical 4-8 week rookie adjustment period — especially pass protection and route running — could give Wilson genuine early-season RB2/flex value before the handoff completes.

Format Comparison

Emanuel Wilson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,007—
PPR SF845-162