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Elijah Moore headshot

Elijah Moore

WR · #152

PHI · WR · Age 26

Redraft rank
WR184
◆WR184 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#471
ADP
WR115
Consensus
Some split

Elijah Moore's one-year prove-it deal with the Eagles, coupled with his recent history of limited production and crowded depth chart, makes him a speculative bench option at best.

Role & trajectory
Moore competes for a roster spot behind established WRs like DeVonta Smith and rookie Makai Lemon, indicating significant touch-share risk in a committee setup.
Projected outlook
Despite flashes of talent, Moore's 2025 season saw him produce just 3.0 PPG over 10 games with a target share never exceeding 4%, suggesting he brings no proven recent volume into his new role.
Risk & schedule
Moore faces competition from multiple WRs for limited snaps and targets, and his history of soft tissue injuries raises concerns about durability through a full season.
Value vs ADP-69 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR184
vs
Market ADP
WR115
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR184 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR115 ADP · -69 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-25 receivers most similar to Elijah Moore's 2025 season, 7 finished WR4+, 3 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

70%30%
  • WR4+70%(7)
  • Missed season30%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
70%hang on~4.4 PPG·30%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.88.3
10 most similar players
Mike Thomas93%
2021·WR165 · 1.6 PPG
Zay Jones91%
2021·WR60 · 7.7 PPG
Malik Taylor90%
2021·Missed the season
Tom Kennedy90%
2022·WR144 · 4.4 PPG
Malik Turner90%
2022·Missed the season
Gunner Olszewski89%
2021·WR180 · 1.5 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionStrong target shareAge 26 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 15 pts above market
Our view
27
Market
12
Long career runwayThin opportunity share

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Landing Spot

    Despite signing with Josh Allen and the Bills—a seeming QB upgrade—Moore caught only 9 of 17 targets for 112 yards in 9 games before being released mid-season. The Bills offense, despite MVP-caliber play, offered him no clear path.

  • Contract Situation

    Moore's practice squad contract with Denver expired on February 2, 2026, making him an unrestricted free agent with no clear landing spot. He's now on his fifth team in five seasons (Jets, Browns, Bills, Broncos), a pattern of instability that signals persistent fit issues.

  • Production Ceiling

    Moore has never exceeded 640 receiving yards or 5 TDs in a season across his entire career. With just 9 career TDs across 70 games (209 receptions, 2,274 yards), the trajectory suggests meaningful ceiling limitations even with opportunity.

  • Team Instability

    Moore has now cycled through five organizations (Jets, Browns, Bills, Broncos PS, Eagles) since 2022 without ever securing a featured role. His Denver stint ended as a practice squad player before a February 2026 release — the definition of a failed landing spot.

  • Target Competition

    Moore enters a loaded Eagles WR room sitting behind AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Hollywood Brown, and Dontayvion Wicks — a realistic WR5 or cut candidate who needs multiple injuries ahead of him to reach dynasty-relevant volume.

  • Role Stability

    Moore has landed on his fifth NFL team in five seasons (Jets → Browns → Broncos PS → Eagles) at age 26; the one-year prove-it deal signals minimal organizational commitment and a legitimate release risk at final 53-man cutdowns.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Landing Spot

    A move to a QB-friendly offense with high-volume passing (e.g., playoff contender needing WR depth) could unlock significantly higher target share and dynasty value.

  • Bounce Back Narrative

    At 25, Moore is young enough to reset his career trajectory with a fresh team, potentially offering buy-low appeal if signed to a team with clear offensive fit.

  • Ufa Reset Timing

    As an unrestricted free agent with fresh slate timing heading into 2026 offseason, Moore could land with a WR-needy team offering genuine volume. Sean Payton showed interest (Broncos), but current value reflects low expectations.

  • Buy Low Window

    Current tier 11 valuation (1092 trade value) reflects rock-bottom expectations. At 25 years old with proven college pedigree (first-team All-American at Ole Miss), Moore remains young enough for a career reset if he lands with the right team needing slot/gadget receiver depth.

  • Depth Chart Flux

    Active AJ Brown trade rumors at Philadelphia could reshape the WR room meaningfully; if Brown is moved, Moore's slot-receiver profile becomes relevant in a Hurts offense that needs a third reliable target.

  • Athletic Profile

    Moore's 4.35 speed and versatility as slot receiver/gadget weapon remain assets. He posted 8 catches for 111 yards against Denver in 2024, showing he can still flash when targeted, though consistent opportunity has eluded him.

Format Comparison

Elijah Moore — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest696—
PPR SF575-121