Elijah Arroyo

Of the 10 age-22 tight ends most similar to Elijah Arroyo's 2025 season, 1 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 2 finished TE3, 4 finished TE4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

Arroyo enters 2026 as Seattle's pass-catching TE2 behind AJ Barner, who cemented himself as the franchise tight end (52-519-6, TE14 PPR) and owns the inline and red-zone roles for Sam Darnold — a ceiling cap the structured data reinforces with a quiet rookie line (15-179-1, 2.8 PPG, target share down to 3%). The bull case is real but speculative: at 23 he's in the TE appreciation window, drew strong OTA reviews, and projects as the designed pass-down/seam complement on a contending offense, which is why dynasty media tag him as a 2026 breakout. The chief concerns are Barner's entrenched usage and a late-2025 knee injury that cost him four games before he returned for the playoffs. At a tier-6 price (~2112), the asymmetry favors patience. Recommendation: speculative BUY/HOLD on a 1-2 year horizon — cheap enough that year-2 role growth or a Barner absence pays off, with limited downside if he stays a TE2.