Efton Chism
WR · #158NEP · WR · Age 24
Dynasty value
592
Hold Stable
Tier
T13
Pos rank
WR158
Consensus
Contested
What’s driving the valueRange 355–799
Case for
Age / window
age 24 WR
Situation
Multiple tailwinds
Case against
Pedigree / rank
WR158 · Tier 13
Neutral: Production trend
Target Volume Limited Ceiling Draft Capital Draft Capital Usage & Volume
Analysis
Efton Chism III is a 24-year-old 2025 UDFA (Eastern Washington) who stuck as the Patriots' kickoff returner and emergency slot, flashing a Week 17 TD from Drake Maye after a minor knee issue early in his rookie year. The offseason worked against him: New England traded a 2028 first for A.J. Brown (the clear WR1/X), re-signed Romeo Doubs to a four-year deal, and is developing Kyle Williams — leaving Chism 5th-6th on the chart behind Brown, Doubs, Williams, Boutte, and Douglas. His only realistic upside catalysts are a Boutte trade (rumored) or an injury cascade opening slot snaps, neither of which is his to control. The lack of a drafted rookie WR keeps his roster spot safe but does nothing for his target path. Recommendation: SELL/HOLD — at a Tier-7 deep-flier price he's a roster-clogger in dynasty; hold only as a free dart in deep leagues and sell into any preseason hype, with no expectation of standalone value over the next 1-2 years.
Scenarios (4)
Permanent ST/depth ceilinglikely▼ -5%
Slot role via Boutte/Douglas attritionpossible▲ +20%
In-season breakout via injury cascadeunlikely▲ +35%
Roster cut / practice squadunlikely▼ -40%
Why these flags (5)
Target Volume — The A.J. Brown trade (acquired for a 2028 first) plus re-signed Romeo Doubs, Kyle Williams, and DeMario Douglas leave Chism buried 5th-6th on the WR depth chart with no clear path to meaningful target share in 2026.
Limited Ceiling — Chism's value is anchored to a kickoff-return/depth role (16 KR for 383 yards as a rookie); his offensive ceiling depends on injuries ahead of him rather than earned snaps, capping standalone dynasty value.
Draft Capital — As a 2025 UDFA out of Eastern Washington with only 3 career catches, Chism carries no draft-capital tiebreaker and is the type of fringe roster piece most exposed when the team upgrades the WR room.
Draft Capital — New England added no WR in the 2026 draft (R3 TE Eli Raridon, R7 QB/RB), so Chism's depth/slot role faces no incoming rookie threat — his roster spot is secure even if his target path is not.
Usage & Volume — If Boutte is dealt (active trade rumors) and Douglas departs, Chism could earn rotational slot snaps with Drake Maye, who already trusted him for a Week 17 TD; this is a thin but real contingency path.
Format Comparison
Efton Chism — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 742 | — |
| PPR SF | 592 | -150 |