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WR #391
Efton Chism headshot
Efton Chism headshot

Efton Chism

Tier 12

NEP · WR · Age 24

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

631Declining

Efton Chism III is a 24-year-old 2025 UDFA who outperformed expectations by making the Patriots' roster, securing the kickoff-return job (16 returns, 383...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Chism ranks 5th-6th on Patriots' depth chart behind established veterans Kayshon Boutte (2915 value), Kyle Williams (2804), Stefon Diggs (2704), DeMario Douglas (2170), and Mack Hollins (1143). His tier 10 valuation (1332) is sandwiched between Hollins and far below the top-4 WRs, creating a severely blocked path to targets.

  • Target Volume

    Fellow WRs Stefon Diggs, Kayshon Boutte, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams and DeMario Douglas are under contract with New England next season. As a rookie undrafted free agent, Chism ranks 5th-6th on the depth chart with a significant path to relevant opportunity blocked.

  • Development Path

    Chism finished the 2025 regular season with three catches for 75 yards and a touchdown in eight games. Minimal NFL production from an undrafted player makes the Tier 10 valuation (1332 trade value) speculative without proven volume.

  • Role Limitation

    Chism's primary role is as a kick returner (16 returns, 383 yards) rather than offensive contributor. He logged just 3 catches for 75 yards and 1 TD in 8 regular season games, and was inactive for Super Bowl LX despite Patriots reaching the championship game.

  • Target Competition

    New England signed Romeo Doubs to a 4-year/$68M deal in March 2026, replacing the released Stefon Diggs as WR1. Chism now sits sixth on the depth chart behind Doubs, Boutte, Kyle Williams, Douglas, and Hollins — a materially more blocked room than 14 days ago.

  • Role Redundancy

    Demario Douglas is the established slot receiver in New England (value 1649 vs. Chism's 911) and occupies the exact role Chism would need to win. Chism cannot leapfrog Douglas without an injury or roster move.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Scheme Fit

    Coaching staff comparisons to Julian Edelman, Wes Welker, and Danny Amendola in Josh McDaniels' timing-based system are meaningful — the Patriots have a long track record of developing undrafted slot receivers into starters. Chism described as fitting 'like a glove.'

  • Injury Concerns

    With Mack Hollins on injured reserve with an abdominal injury, Chism has taken on some of the veteran wide receiver's snaps as a run blocker, with three catches for 75 yards and a touchdown in the Patriots' last two games. Any injuries to Boutte, Hollins, or Diggs could accelerate his path to meaningful targets.

  • Elite College Production

    Chism finished the 2024 season with 120 receptions for 1,311 yards and 13 touchdowns, earning FCS first-team All-American honors. His elite college track record suggests NFL skills are present; he needs opportunity, not development validation.

  • Veteran Attrition

    Mack Hollins (32 years old) is a candidate for release to clear $8M in cap space per Yahoo Sports analysis. Stefon Diggs (33 in 2026) and Hollins represent aging veteran depth that could create pathway to snaps if Patriots rebuild WR room through cuts or trades.

  • Role Expansion

    DeMario Douglas is the slot incumbent ahead of him; if Douglas departs or is supplanted, Chism profiles as a natural slot replacement on a Drake Maye-led offense that just reached a Super Bowl.

  • Offensive Context

    Drake Maye (value: 7671) is a franchise QB in Year 2 who led the Patriots to Super Bowl 60 — his slot receiver in a McDaniels timing system carries real long-term dynasty relevance as the offense matures.

Scenarios (4)
  • Permanent ST/depth ceilinglikely-5%

    WR room stays healthy; Chism remains returner + 5th/6th WR with negligible offensive snaps

  • Slot role via Douglas departurepossible+30%

    DeMario Douglas traded/walks in free agency, opening the slot for Chism in Maye's offense

  • Preseason roster cutunlikely-45%

    Patriots add a veteran WR or rookie returner and waive Chism in final cuts

  • In-season breakout via injury cascadeunlikely+35%

    Multiple injuries ahead of him force a sustained rotational offensive role he capitalizes on

Format Comparison

Efton Chism — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest817—
PPR SF631-186