Risk Flags
6- Touch Competition
Sampson totaled only 44-65 carries for 116-175 yards and zero TDs in 2025, averaging 2.7 yards per carry. Despite rookie status, he failed to establish himself over Jerome Ford (1,323 value) or earn consistent role over established veterans.
- Depth Chart
Sampson finished 2025 with only 65 carries for 175 yards (2.7 YPC) and zero TDs behind Quinshon Judkins (827 yards, 7 TDs). Jerome Ford is a free agent but Raheim Sanders remains, and depth chart shows Sampson currently listed as RB1 only due to Judkins' IR status.
- Inefficient Production
Sampson averaged just 2.3-2.7 yards per carry on limited volume (44-65 attempts depending on source) in his rookie season. He struggled on the ground despite college pedigree as 2024 SEC Offensive Player of the Year with 22 TDs.
- Depth Chart Block
Quinshon Judkins (dynasty value 4907) is the unquestioned RB1 and is on track to return healthy for 2026 training camp after his Week 16 ankle fracture. Sampson's path to meaningful standalone touches is almost entirely gated by a Judkins setback.
- Judkins Recovery Timeline
Judkins underwent successful surgery for fractured fibula/dislocated ankle with 4-6 month recovery expected by June 2026. Recent reports indicate he's still in a heavy walking boot in early February, raising concerns about his Week 1 availability and potentially limiting Sampson's window.
- Starter Return
Judkins' anticipated full recovery materially reduces the RB1 window that made Sampson compelling in early offseason. His dynasty value is heavily contingent on Judkins suffering a setback, which is a coinflip catalyst rather than a baseline expectation.