Risk Flags
6- Depth Chart
Brown is listed 7th on the Jaguars WR depth chart behind Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, Travis Hunter (IR but returning 2026), Tim Patrick, and Tim Jones. His snap rates plummeted to 21-27% in mid-season games even with injuries to elite teammates, and he was a healthy scratch Week 13.
- Target Volume
Brown operates as a 4th/5th option in a loaded WR corps featuring Brian Thomas Jr., Travis Hunter (sidelined mid-2025 but expected back), Parker Washington, and newly-acquired Jakobi Meyers. Even with Hunter's knee injury limiting his 2026 availability, target competition remains severe.
- Minimal Production Trend
2025 stats show 20 receptions, 227 yards through 14 games—averaging ~16 yards per game. He has been benched or limited repeatedly and deemed off-fantasy-radar multiple times during the season, indicating offensive staff has lost confidence.
- Scheme Fit
Despite signing a $10M prove-it deal, Brown failed to capitalize when Travis Hunter went down mid-season. Jacksonville traded for Jakobi Meyers at the deadline specifically because Brown couldn't answer the bell, and reports indicate he's gone six straight games without a reception heading into late 2025.
- Roster Security
Brown signed a 1-year $10M deal in March 2025 but projects to earn only ~$2M in 2026 per Spotrac — a massive market correction indicating the league no longer views him as a starter-caliber asset. He is likely a UFA heading into 2026 with no guaranteed future in Jacksonville.
- Target Competition
Luke McCaffrey has the inside track on Washington's slot role and projects as the primary slot receiver opposite McLaurin. Brown is competing for leftover WR3/4 targets despite re-signing with a team that clearly prefers McCaffrey in that role.