Risk Flags
1- Usage & Volume
Smythe was brought in as a run-blocking complement to Mark Andrews rather than a receiving option; his target share fell into the 2-4% range across his last four game logs, leaving negligible standalone fantasy value.
Durham Smythe
TE · #78BAL · TE · Age 31
Dynasty value
3
Hold Stable
Tier
T15
Pos rank
TE78
Consensus
Strong
What’s driving the valueRange 1–3
Case for
Situation
One tailwind
Case against
Age / window
age 31 TE
Pedigree / rank
TE78 · Tier 15
Neutral: Production trend
Analysis
Smythe joined Baltimore in March 2026 on a one-year deal, explicitly as a run-blocking complement to Mark Andrews and a scheme-familiarity hire reuniting him with coordinator Declan Doyle from their shared time in Chicago. His 2025 log included a calf issue that cost him no games, and his role is defined by blocking assignments rather than health availability. Net dynasty take: hold only if he's already deep bench/TE-premium filler, with no buy case and little urgency to sell given his value is already at a floor; revisit only if an Andrews absence forces expanded usage.
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Of the 10 age-26 tight ends most similar to Durham Smythe's 2021 season, 3 finished TE3, 7 finished TE4+.
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
30%70%
- TE330%(3)
- TE4+70%(7)
Next-season PPG range4.2 median
2.2p25–p75 3.2–6.08.1
10 most similar players
Gerald Everett74%
2019TE27 · 7.5 PPG
Jesse James72%
2021TE75 · 4.8 PPG
Blake Bell71%
2019TE60 · 2.0 PPG
Mo Alie-Cox71%
2020TE29 · 5.8 PPG
Adam Shaheen70%
2021TE67 · 3.3 PPG
Maxx Williams70%
2021TE56 · 8.3 PPG
+4 more analogs
Scenarios (3)
Rookie tight end passes him on the depth chartpossible▼ -35%
Andrews injury forces expanded two-TE usagepossible▲ +15%
Out of the league within two seasonsunlikely▼ -55%
Intel may be outdated · updated 47 days ago
Current statusBAL
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (2 flags)
Opportunity Flags
1- Situational Upside
Any Mark Andrews absence would push Smythe into expanded two-TE snaps, though his career-long receiving profile caps how much fantasy production would follow even with more playing time.
Format Comparison
Durham Smythe — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 3 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 2 | -1 |