Drake Maye
QB · #2NE · QB · Age 23
Redraft rank
QB3
QB3 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#6
ADP
QB5
Consensus
Some split
Drake Maye's 22.5% carry share from the previous season solidifies his status as a rare dual-threat quarterback entering Year 3, with an already proven elite ceiling and a decade-long runway for value appreciation.
Role & trajectory
Maye's role as a franchise QB is cemented by his 22.5% carry share from the previous season, indicating he remains a primary rushing threat alongside his passing duties.
Projected outlook
Entering Year 3 at age 23 with an MVP runner-up finish and Super Bowl appearance under his belt, Maye's projected outlook is for sustained elite production, bolstered by the addition of A.J. Brown as a top target.
Risk & schedule
While Maye's willingness to run keeps a modest injury risk due to recurring contact injuries over the past two offseasons, his full participation in the offseason program suggests he is healthy and ready for another strong season.
Value vs ADP+2 slots of value
Our rank
QB3
Market ADP
QB5
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorMinorMinorMinor
Case for
Projection rank
QB3 · proj. consensus
ADP value
QB5 ADP · +2 slots
Source agreement
±6 rank σ · 2 sources
Age / role
age 23 QB
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.
32%51%
- QB132%(3)
- QB251%(5)
- QB39%(1)
- QB4+7%(1)
Year-two PPG range14.7 median
8.2p25–p75 10.6–17.819.7
10 most similar players
Justin Fields90%
2023QB16 · 17.7 PPG
Zach Wilson87%
2023QB24 · 10.0 PPG
Tua Tagovailoa86%
2023QB11 · 15.8 PPG
Jalen Hurts67%
2023QB4 · 20.6 PPG
Jordan Love66%
2023QB6 · 18.7 PPG
C.J. Stroud66%
2024QB17 · 13.3 PPG
+4 more analogs
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Format Comparison
Drake Maye — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 8,126 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 5,620 | -2,506 |