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Dontayvion Wicks headshot

Dontayvion Wicks

WR · #92

PHI · WR · Age 25

Redraft rank
WR107
▲WR107 · Depth+64 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#251
ADP
WR171
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP+64 slots of value
Our rank
WR107
vs
Market ADP
WR171
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR171 ADP · +64 slots
Major
+
Source agreement
±0 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR107 · proj. consensus
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 receivers most similar to Dontayvion Wicks's 2025 season, 5 finished WR4+, 5 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%50%
  • WR4+50%(5)
  • Missed season50%(5)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
50%hang on~6.1 PPG·50%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.19.1
10 most similar players
Rashard Higgins94%
2019·WR149 · 2.6 PPG
KeeSean Johnson93%
2021·Missed the season
Jakobi Meyers92%
2020·WR58 · 11.9 PPG
Xavier Hutchinson92%
2025·WR63 · 6.1 PPG
Bub Means92%
2025·Missed the season
Quintez Cephus91%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Wicks lands in Philadelphia after an April 2026 trade from Green Bay, with a 1-year/$12.5M extension through 2027 and a meaningful coaching connection (OC Sean Mannion and former GB position coach Ryan Mahaffey). That commitment is the bull case, but the role is murky: he sits behind WR1 DeVonta Smith and R1 rookie Makai Lemon, ahead of (or even with) Hollywood Brown and Elijah Moore in a deep room, and his 2025 GB usage collapsed to single-digit snap and target shares. A.J. Brown's departure vacates real volume, so the WR3 job and a slice of a strong Hurts/Barkley offense are genuinely up for grabs, but extreme target competition caps his ceiling. His OTA absence on May 27 is a small flag to watch. As a Tier 6 / ~WR100 dynasty asset, he's a cheap speculative buy/hold — acquire only at minimal cost (late rookie pick or throw-in) and hold through camp to see if he wins the WR3 role; sell into any preseason hype if he doesn't separate by August.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↓ 10 pts below market
Our view
26
Market
36
Long career runwayLow draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume2

    Wicks is buried behind Watson, Reed, Doubs, and Golden in a crowded WR room. Despite available playing time, he finished with only 30 catches (332 yards, 2 TDs) on 46 targets—third on team even when others were healthy.

  • Injury Concerns

    Wicks suffered a concussion in Week 17 against Baltimore and missed the playoff game after failing to pass NFL concussion protocol. Multiple injuries throughout 2025 (calf strain, ankle sprain) limited his availability and effectiveness.

  • Roster Cut Candidate

    Multiple sources suggest the Packers will likely move on from Wicks post-2026 due to his low $1.15M contract and team preference for younger draft picks with longer rookie deals. One analyst stated the Packers likely only keep one between Wicks and Reed after 2026, with Reed being the clear preference.

  • Role Uncertainty

    His dynasty value is entirely binary: if A.J. Brown remains in Philadelphia, Wicks is irrelevant depth; only a Brown trade or release unlocks a meaningful WR2 role and corresponding value jump.

  • Rookie Competition

    Eagles used the No. 20 overall pick on Biletnikoff Award winner Makai Lemon (USC), who profiles as the WR2 alongside DeVonta Smith and directly caps Wicks' ceiling at WR3 at best in Philadelphia's hierarchy.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Veteran Departure

    If the Packers move on from any current depth chart players or experience injuries to top options, Wicks could see expanded target share as the primary backup option.

  • Doubs Free Agency

    Romeo Doubs is expected to leave in free agency, likely opening ~85 targets from the roster. Doubs' departure would elevate everyone on the depth chart and create a significant volume opportunity for Wicks.

  • Role Expansion

    Multiple reports indicate A.J. Brown's future in Philadelphia is uncertain; if Brown is traded or released, Wicks immediately becomes the Eagles WR2 alongside DeVonta Smith in a Jalen Hurts-led offense that ranks among the NFL's best.

  • Target Volume

    AJ Brown's trade to New England is now essentially confirmed post-June 1, unlocking a significant chunk of the Eagles' target share — the primary upside catalyst from the prior analysis is now nearly realized.

  • Offensive Context

    Moving from Jordan Love in Green Bay to Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia is a substantial dynasty upgrade; even a WR3 role in Philly's pass-heavy offense is worth more than Wicks' Packers floor.

  • Doubs Departure

    Romeo Doubs is expected to leave in free agency (projected $12M/year contract), which would open ~85 targets and elevate everyone on the depth chart. Recent reports indicate the Packers are open to re-signing Doubs but may let him walk to gain a compensatory pick.

Format Comparison

Dontayvion Wicks — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,251—
PPR SF1,062-189