Risk Flags
5- Depth Chart
Pavia is QB3 behind Lamar Jackson (two-time MVP, 9407 value) and Tyler Huntley (1117 value). He must first outcompete Joe Fagnano for the QB3 spot before any fantasy relevance is even conceivable — and even then, QB3 in Baltimore is likely a practice squad role.
- Physical Concerns
Pavia measured 5'9-7/8" at the 2026 combine — a primary driver of his historic fall from Heisman runner-up to undrafted. No sub-5'10" QB has sustained NFL starting success in the modern era, and this ceiling concern is baked into his UDFA landing.
- Draft Capital
Going completely undrafted means zero organizational investment; UDFA QBs without draft capital almost never develop into rostered fantasy assets.
- Age Concerns
Born February 2002, Pavia is 24 years old entering the NFL — older than nearly all UDFA stash targets due to his non-linear path through JUCO, NMSU, and Vanderbilt. His developmental window before age-related career ceiling concerns is shorter than a typical 21-22 year old rookie.
- Roster Security
Pavia must beat out fellow UDFA Joe Fagnano for the QB3 spot. UDFA QBs frequently land on practice squads or get cut before Week 1; there is no guarantee he makes Baltimore's 53-man roster, let alone holds a spot through the season.