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DeVonta Smith headshot

DeVonta Smith

WR · #17

PHI · WR · Age 27

◆FLEX

DeVonta Smith's recent inconsistent usage signals a volatile role that limits his weekly upside despite being the Eagles' WR15 on our value board.

Role & volume
Smith's trailing four-game average of just 59.2% snap share and 18.3% target share indicates a limited role, with his PPR points per game averaging only 9.0.
Projected role
Given the inconsistency in Smith's recent usage, there is no clear indication of an elevated role or consistent volume that would support a START recommendation.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Smith's floor appears to be around 4.5 PPR points based on his lowest output in the trailing four games, while his ceiling is capped by his WR15 value rank and inconsistent usage patterns.
Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago
Current statusPHI
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionElite target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs MarketIn line with market
Our view
85
Market
85
High draft pedigreeElite target shareProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury Concerns

    Smith dealt with a training-camp hamstring strain that cost him all of the preseason before returning to full practice participation in late August 2026; he opened Week 1 healthy, but the strain adds a small recurrence watch.

  • Draft Capital

    First-round rookie Makai Lemon (R1 P20) joins the room as a likely slot WR2, but a hamstring strain and a lower-volume passing scheme have capped his early role, keeping Smith's target competition limited for now.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    With A.J. Brown traded away in mid-2026, Smith is now the undisputed WR1 in Philadelphia, posting a 27% target share and 0.64 WOPR with no proven complementary alpha behind him.

  • Coaching Continuity

    Naming Smith a team captain and having him mentor Lemon and the rest of the receiver room signals the coaching staff is building the offense around him long-term.

Format Comparison

DeVonta Smith — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest4,974—
PPR SF4,251-723