DeVonta Smith

Injuries have cost him just three games in four seasons, but Smith sustained a hamstring injury in Week 11 and missed two more games, also sitting out Philly's final regular season game. Soft tissue concerns remain relevant despite 2025 full-season availability.

Smith caught 77 of 113 targets for 1,008 yards and a career-low four touchdowns while dressing for all 17 regular-season games. The TD drop from historical averages (7-8 per season) signals unpredictable scoring in a run-heavy offense with goal-line opportunities distributed across Barkley, Hurts, and now Saquon Barkley.

There's not much hope for more than 6-7 targets per game so long as Brown, RB Saquon Barkley and QB Jalen Hurts enjoy relatively healthy campaigns. As the WR2, Smith is structurally limited despite league-leading target distribution at his position.

Smith is structurally capped as the WR2 behind A.J. Brown in a run-heavy offense featuring Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts' rushing. His 2025 season saw a career-low 4 TDs despite 1,008 yards, highlighting unpredictable scoring opportunities.

Beyond Lemon, the Eagles added Hollywood Brown and Elijah Moore in free agency and acquired Dontayvion Wicks via trade from Green Bay. This is a 5-WR offense with real bodies behind Smith, and cumulative volume dilution is a legitimate ceiling constraint even with Brown departing.

Makai Lemon (R1 P20, Biletnikoff Award winner) is expected to operate as the Eagles' primary slot receiver as a rookie. While alignment splits should protect Smith's outside WR1 role, a high-ceiling first-rounder in the same pass game absorbs meaningful targets and could cap PPG ceiling if Lemon transitions to an outside role faster than expected.

Smith has posted a target share of at least 22% in all four seasons, and the Eagles' high-scoring offense has allowed him seven-plus TDs in three straight campaigns. The Eagles' offensive infrastructure and consistent volume provide a floor even as Smith enters his age-27 season.

Smith caught eight of 11 targets for 70 yards in Sunday's 23-19 wild-card game loss to the 49ers, accounting for 70 of Jalen Hurts' 168 passing yards while no teammate had more than 33 receiving yards. The Eagles' win-now window with Hurts, Barkley, and elite infrastructure remains intact heading into 2026.

Smith is locked into an elite Eagles offense through 2028 with QB Jalen Hurts, RB Saquon Barkley, and a strong offensive line. The team's consistent playoff contention and high-volume passing situations provide a stable fantasy floor.

Active and credible trade speculation around A.J. Brown (potentially moved post-June 1 for cap relief) would immediately elevate Smith to WR1 of one of the NFL's elite passing offenses, unlocking 130+ target projection and top-10 dynasty appeal — his value inflects sharply the moment Brown is dealt.

The AJ Brown-to-Patriots trade is now widely reported as a post-June-1 certainty — the Eagles' aggressive trade-up for Lemon at R1 P20 confirmed the intention. Brown's departure elevates Smith to unquestioned outside WR1 in one of the NFL's premier offenses, with target projections rising from 113 toward 135-150 per season.

A.J. Brown was traded to New England on June 2, 2026, leaving roughly 25-30% of the target tree and the alpha perimeter role open. Smith is the undisputed WR1 and Hurts' primary outside target — Roseman publicly reaffirmed full confidence in him.