Risk Flags
4- Injury Concerns
Achane underwent shoulder surgery in May 2026 for the injury suffered in Week 17 and was not a full OTA participant as of late May, creating real uncertainty about his conditioning and availability entering training camp and Week 1.
- TD Regression
Achane scored 12 total touchdowns in 2025 against roughly 8.4 expected, a +3.6 positive variance that typically reverts and could deflate his fantasy scoring even if his touch share holds steady.
- QB Dependency
With Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle both gone and run-capable Malik Willis now at QB, Miami's checkdown and red-zone passing volume could increasingly bypass Achane, consistent with the target-share decline already showing in his full-season trend.
- Long-Term Wear
Achane logged roughly 305 combined touches in 2025 as a true workhorse; sustained volume at that pace raises attrition risk in years three and four of his new four-year deal.