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Devin Neal headshot

Devin Neal

RB · #72

JAX · RB · Age 22

Redraft rank
RB93
◆RB93 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#427
ADP
RB65
Consensus
Coin flip

Devin Neal's 2025 season ended prematurely with a hamstring injury, leaving his role undefined heading into the 2026 campaign.

Role & trajectory
Neal's carry share of 13.2% in nine games is a small sample size and does not reflect his true potential or current standing on the depth chart, with Alvin Kamara and Travis Etienne Jr. ahead of him.
Projected outlook
Neal's value rank as RB93 suggests he is unlikely to see significant touches in a crowded backfield, especially given the Saints' recent signing of Travis Etienne Jr. and Kamara's continued presence on the roster.
Risk & schedule
The addition of Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love at No. 8 overall in the draft would further limit Neal's opportunities, while his own injury history and the compressed timeline for young running backs create additional risk.
Value vs ADP-28 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB93
vs
Market ADP
RB65
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 22 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB93 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB65 ADP · -28 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±56 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-22 backs most similar to Devin Neal's 2025 season, 1 finished RB3, 5 finished RB4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%40%
  • RB310%(1)
  • RB4+50%(5)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
60%hang on~5.2 PPG·40%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–5.310.8
10 most similar players
Zonovan Knight92%
2023·Missed the season
Chris Rodriguez85%
2024·RB83 · 5.2 PPG
Eno Benjamin85%
2022·RB52 · 7.5 PPG
Kylin Hill84%
2022·Missed the season
Justin Jackson81%
2019·RB82 · 4.5 PPG
Aaron Jones80%
2018·RB26 · 14.3 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • RB Prime Window

    At 22.5 years old, Neal has a compressed runway to establish immediate NFL role given typical RB decline curves. His 2025 season production shows 57 carries for 206 yards and 2 TDs (3.6 avg)—minimal volume that undermines tier 6 valuation.

  • Draft Capital

    Saints are heavily mocked to select Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love at No. 8 overall, which would completely bury Neal on the depth chart behind both Love and the aging Kamara. Multiple mock drafts and analysts view this as a near-consensus pick.

  • Depth Chart

    The Saints signed Travis Etienne Jr. to a 4-year, ~$50M deal in March 2026, and Alvin Kamara remains on the roster for his final contract year. Neal is effectively RB3-4 with no realistic path to significant touches in 2026 barring multiple injuries ahead of him.

  • Backfield Blockage

    Travis Etienne Jr. signed a 4-year/$52M deal with New Orleans this offseason, immediately entrenching as RB1 — a signing confirmed via search but not yet reflected in the structured roster data. Neal now projects as RB3 in a veteran-heavy room behind two backs with major organizational investment.

  • Depth Chart Reality

    With Etienne (newly signed, $52M committed) and Kamara (still on roster, dynasty value) ahead of him, Neal cannot earn his way to lead-back volume through merit alone in 2026 — he needs at minimum one major veteran injury to see meaningful work.

  • Target Volume

    The Saints signed Travis Etienne Jr. (4yr/$52M) to join Alvin Kamara, Kendre Miller, Ty Chandler and Audric Estime, leaving Neal currently ticketed for an RB3/depth role in a badly crowded room.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Lead Back Vacancy

    Alvin Kamara's departure creates a clear path to increased touches and goal-line work if Neal can win the job outright.

  • Injury Concerns

    Kamara missed five straight games due to sprained MCL and will turn 30-plus in 2026, and with playoff contention eliminated, there's little incentive pushing the veteran back if not 100% healthy. Extended absences create immediate opportunity windows for Neal.

  • 2026 Draft RB Competition

    Saints hold the No. 8 overall pick and mock drafts link them to prospects like Notre Dame's Jeremiyah Love, ranked as the No. 3 overall prospect per ESPN, which would give the Saints insurance behind Kamara. Monitor Saints' draft activity—if they invest early capital in RB, Neal's path narrows significantly.

  • Usage & Volume

    Neal saw increased work over his last two games before injury, playing 45% of team rushing snaps to Kamara's 54%, suggesting coaching staff confidence was building before the hamstring setback.

  • Age Concerns

    Kamara turned 30 during the 2025 season and posted career-worst efficiency (3.6 YPC, 5.6 YPR) with just 471 rushing yards in 11 games. His decline creates a potential 2027 opportunity if the Saints move on after his contract expires in 2026.

  • Depth Chart

    Kamara is in the final year of his deal at age 31 with significant trade rumors swirling. If Kamara is moved before or after the 2026 season, Neal becomes the clear RB2 target behind Etienne entering 2027 — a meaningful roster-construction opportunity.

Format Comparison

Devin Neal — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,050—
PPR SF861-189