Risk Flags
6- RB Prime Window
At 22.5 years old, Neal has a compressed runway to establish immediate NFL role given typical RB decline curves. His 2025 season production shows 57 carries for 206 yards and 2 TDs (3.6 avg)—minimal volume that undermines tier 6 valuation.
- Depth Chart
The Saints signed Travis Etienne Jr. to a 4-year, ~$50M deal in March 2026, and Alvin Kamara remains on the roster for his final contract year. Neal is effectively RB3-4 with no realistic path to significant touches in 2026 barring multiple injuries ahead of him.
- Draft Capital
Saints are heavily mocked to select Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love at No. 8 overall, which would completely bury Neal on the depth chart behind both Love and the aging Kamara. Multiple mock drafts and analysts view this as a near-consensus pick.
- Backfield Blockage
Travis Etienne Jr. signed a 4-year/$52M deal with New Orleans this offseason, immediately entrenching as RB1 — a signing confirmed via search but not yet reflected in the structured roster data. Neal now projects as RB3 in a veteran-heavy room behind two backs with major organizational investment.
- Depth Chart Reality
With Etienne (newly signed, $52M committed) and Kamara (still on roster, dynasty value 2224) ahead of him, Neal cannot earn his way to lead-back volume through merit alone in 2026 — he needs at minimum one major veteran injury to see meaningful work.
- Target Volume
The Saints signed Travis Etienne Jr. (4yr/$52M) to join Alvin Kamara, Kendre Miller, Ty Chandler and Audric Estime, leaving Neal currently ticketed for an RB3/depth role in a badly crowded room.