Derrick Henry

RB age 32 — entering/past typical value cliff

Henry and Keaton Mitchell were designated as first- and second-down backs, with Henry intended to start two-thirds of the drives, while Rasheen Ali was the third-down specialist. Snap share volatility exists despite his primary role, and his season average is 53.2% of snaps.

Henry had 1,595 rushing yards and 307 rushing attempts last season. He's in his seventh 1,000-yard rushing season and became only the fifth player in NFL history with five seasons of 13+ rushing TDs. Red zone volume guarantees scoring ceiling.

After a career-high 36 carries for 216 yards and four touchdowns in Green Bay, the prevailing belief is that Henry gets stronger as the season goes on as opponents' bodies get achier. His playoff performance provides win-now value for contenders.

Henry signed a two year extension with the Baltimore Ravens on May 19, 2025 worth $30.0 million in new money with $25 million fully guaranteed, securing him through the 2026 season. This guarantees his workhorse role for the remainder of his dynasty value window.

Henry paced all running backs in rushing TDs (16) in his first season with Baltimore, benefiting from Lamar Jackson's mobility creating favorable defensive alignments. The Ravens' run-heavy scheme and Jackson's presence maximize Henry's goal-line and rushing opportunity share.

Keaton Mitchell walked in free agency, removing Henry's only credible early-down competitor. With Mitchell gone, Henry enters 2026 as the uncontested lead back on a Super Bowl contender — carry share (74%) and snap share (71%) were already trending up and should hold or expand.

Lamar Jackson remains the anchor of Baltimore's offense, commanding defensive attention that creates elite RB run lanes. Henry benefits from arguably the best QB-adjacent run-blocking scheme in the NFL, providing a consistent floor even under a new play-caller.