Risk Flags
7- Age Concerns2
At 30, Samuel posted a career-low 10.1 YPC in 2025, suggesting genuine athleticism erosion rather than just scheme misfit; elite separation and run-after-catch upside that defined his peak are fading.
- Imminent Free Agency
Samuel's contract voided with a $12.3M cap hit on the Commanders' books for 2026, making him an unrestricted free agent on March 11. Team interest appears lukewarm given offensive priorities.
- Age And Decline
At 30 years old, Samuel is entering the decline phase for WRs. His 2025 production was lackluster with 72 catches for 727 yards and five touchdowns, averaging a career-low 10.1 yards per catch, and was barely used as a ballcarrier with 75 yards and a single score.
- Scheme Fit
The Commanders used Samuel on passes at or behind the line of scrimmage last season, limiting his impact. New OC David Blough's system emphasizes explosive downfield plays, which may not suit Samuel's role.
- Contract Situation
Samuel remains unsigned as of late April 2026, more than six weeks into free agency and after the NFL Draft concluded — a stark market signal that teams are unwilling to meet his price or comfort level at age 30.
- Offensive Context
Without a team at the start of May, Samuel's 2026 scheme fit, QB situation, and target volume are entirely unknown; late free agent signings typically mean limited offseason prep and minimal early-season opportunity.