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WR #227
Deebo Samuel headshot
Deebo Samuel headshot

Deebo Samuel

Tier 11

FA · WR · Age 30

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

974Rising

Deebo Samuel is a 30-year-old hybrid WR whose dynasty value has collapsed to tier 6 (~2183) and is still falling, with his Commanders contract voided in...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

7
  • Age Concerns2

    At 30, Samuel posted a career-low 10.1 YPC in 2025, suggesting genuine athleticism erosion rather than just scheme misfit; elite separation and run-after-catch upside that defined his peak are fading.

  • Imminent Free Agency

    Samuel's contract voided with a $12.3M cap hit on the Commanders' books for 2026, making him an unrestricted free agent on March 11. Team interest appears lukewarm given offensive priorities.

  • Age And Decline

    At 30 years old, Samuel is entering the decline phase for WRs. His 2025 production was lackluster with 72 catches for 727 yards and five touchdowns, averaging a career-low 10.1 yards per catch, and was barely used as a ballcarrier with 75 yards and a single score.

  • Scheme Fit

    The Commanders used Samuel on passes at or behind the line of scrimmage last season, limiting his impact. New OC David Blough's system emphasizes explosive downfield plays, which may not suit Samuel's role.

  • Contract Situation

    Samuel remains unsigned as of late April 2026, more than six weeks into free agency and after the NFL Draft concluded — a stark market signal that teams are unwilling to meet his price or comfort level at age 30.

  • Offensive Context

    Without a team at the start of May, Samuel's 2026 scheme fit, QB situation, and target volume are entirely unknown; late free agent signings typically mean limited offseason prep and minimal early-season opportunity.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Offensive Context

    A return to Kyle Shanahan's 49ers system—where Samuel earned All-Pro honors—is being reported as a realistic outcome, with a 2yr/$12M deal circulated. Shanahan's scheme uniquely maximizes Samuel's after-catch ability and dual-threat usage; reunion would be the single biggest value catalyst available.

  • 49ers Reunion Interest

    49ers tight end George Kittle sent out a recruiting pitch for Samuel to return this offseason, and Christian McCaffrey indicated Samuel would be welcomed back, saying 'Deebo is one of my favorite guys I've ever played with' and 'There's no question he would be welcomed back.'

  • Landing Spot

    Fox Sports' Greg Auman believes Samuel will end up with the Los Angeles Chargers. A change of scenery could restore production in a more favorable scheme.

  • Scheme Fit

    OC Mike McDaniel—who developed Samuel's skill set in San Francisco—is now with the Chargers alongside Justin Herbert, making this a scheme-perfect fit that could restore top-30 weekly upside. Dolphins interest via similar McDaniel connections also adds optionality.

  • Healthy Daniels Catalyst

    Jayden Daniels played only four full games and seven overall in 2025 due to injuries. If Daniels returns fully healthy in 2026, target volume could increase regardless of scheme changes.

  • Target Volume

    FA uncertainty has depressed his dynasty trade value; managers who can correctly predict his landing spot could acquire him cheaply and flip on the value spike that typically follows a high-profile free agent signing in an ideal system.

Scenarios (4)
  • Lands complementary WR2/gadget rolelikely+5%

    Signs a 1-year deal with a creative play-caller (Raiders, Rams, Colts) for manufactured-touch usage

  • 49ers reunion resurgenceunlikely+25%

    Returns to San Francisco's vacated WR room and recaptures featured hybrid role under Shanahan

  • Veteran-minimum depth signingpossible-25%

    Cold market forces a late, low-salary deal into a crowded room with minimal target projection

  • Effective end of fantasy relevancepossible-40%

    Signs late as deep depth or remains unsigned into camp, ending startable dynasty value

Format Comparison

Deebo Samuel — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,197—
PPR SF974-223