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DeAndre Hopkins headshot

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · #186

BAL · WR · Age 34

Redraft rank
WR179
◆WR179 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#612
ADP
WR154
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-25 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR179
vs
Market ADP
WR154
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR179 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR154 ADP · -25 slots
Major
−
Age / role
age 34 WR
Notable
Neutral: Source agreement
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 6 age-33 receivers most similar to DeAndre Hopkins's 2025 season, 5 finished WR4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 6 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%20%
  • WR4+80%(5)
  • Missed season20%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.2 median
0.0p25–p75 3.8–6.38.2
6 most similar players
T.Y. Hilton92%
2022·WR139 · 5.2 PPG
Antonio Brown89%
2022·Missed the season
Julio Jones87%
2022·WR80 · 8.2 PPG
DeSean Jackson77%
2021·WR96 · 5.3 PPG
Tyler Lockett53%
2025·WR93 · 4.0 PPG
Sterling Shepard50%
2025·WR84 · 6.3 PPG
Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins is an unsigned 33-34-year-old free agent coming off a career-worst 2025 (22-330-2, #94 PPR), and the BAL roster context here is stale — his Ravens deal has expired. His dynasty value is effectively a roster-clog floor; he carries zero appreciation upside and his outcomes range from a modest WR3 role to depth or retirement. The best-case catalyst is a Vikings signing to reunite with Kyler Murray, which would restore thin slot-PPR flex value, but even that caps him as a third option, and the most likely outcome is a sub-$2.5M depth deal somewhere. Key concerns are the unresolved contract, the age cliff, and an already-eroding snap share (down to ~25% late in 2025). Recommendation: **strong sell / drop** in dynasty now — move him for any pick or depth piece while name value lingers; he is a redraft/win-now-only flier, not a dynasty hold.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns

    At 33.6 years old, Hopkins is entering the typical decline phase for WRs. While the position ages better than RB, significant drop-off in athleticism and separation ability often occurs in the mid-to-late 30s.

  • Free Agency Uncertainty

    Hopkins' contract voids before the 2026 season and the Ravens' new coaching staff under Jesse Minter may not prioritize re-signing a veteran receiver. Hopkins acknowledged new coordinators often prefer younger players.

  • Contract Status

    Hopkins' one-year $5M Ravens deal voided at the 2026 league year, leaving him an unsigned free agent as of April 14. Baltimore is actively pursuing WR upgrades via free agency and the 2026 draft, making a reunion increasingly unlikely.

  • Usage & Volume

    His 2025 output — 39 targets, 22 receptions, 330 yards in 17 games — is a career-worst across every category. His final four weeks of the season averaged just 0.6 PPR points per game on 12% or less target share.

  • Contract Situation

    Hopkins is an unsigned free agent as of April 30, 2026 — his one-year Ravens deal voided at the new league year and Baltimore has no reported interest in re-signing him, having added Ja'Kobi Lane (R3) and Elijah Sarratt (R4) at WR in the 2026 draft. No contract has materialized with any team post-draft.

  • Target Volume

    Wherever Hopkins signs, he projects as a WR3/depth piece at best. His 2025 target share collapsed to 5–12% in his final weeks, and every realistic landing spot already has an established top-two WR. The WR3 ceiling limits dynasty relevance to streaming-only in the deepest of leagues.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Relocation Upside

    PFF projects Hopkins could land with Tennessee to mentor No. 1 overall pick Cam Ward. A team needing veteran WR2/WR3 help could offer a clearer path to targets than Baltimore.

  • Offensive Context

    If Hopkins signs with a QB-friendly, high-volume passing offense needing veteran slot depth, a short-term redraft-relevant floor (40-55 targets) is plausible. Teams with post-draft WR gaps are the watch list.

  • Team Fit

    The Minnesota Vikings passed on WR in the 2026 draft and have emerged as the most actively discussed landing spot — their thin WR depth and Kyler Murray's long-established chemistry with Hopkins from their Arizona tenure could yield 50–60 targets in a PPR-friendly slot role, representing the ceiling scenario for his dynasty value.

  • Scheme Fit

    A Vikings signing reunites him with Kyler Murray (Cardinals 2020-22 rapport) in Kevin O'Connell's WR-friendly scheme, the single outcome that could restore modest slot-PPR flex value.

  • Slot PPR Floor

    In PPR leagues, Hopkins' elite route-running and positioning could provide modest floor value in 2-3 game stretches. His Week 9 outburst (28.6 pts) shows ceiling remains intact even at age 34.

  • Veteran Floor

    Hopkins' elite route-running and ball skills still provide modest PPR floor value in 2-3 game stretches. His Week 9 outburst (28.6 fantasy points) shows ceiling remains intact despite age.

Format Comparison

DeAndre Hopkins — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest3—
PPR 1QBBest3—