HOU · QB · Age 27
No redraft ADP yet — too early in draft season, or outside ADP coverage.
Stroud, with Graham Mertz clearly behind him on the depth chart and no camp competition threatening that order. His floor as a fantasy asset is near zero absent a Stroud injury, but his ceiling in relief duty is real — he won all three of his 2025 spot starts with efficient, mistake-free play, showing he can produce when given the opportunity. Key catalysts to watch are Stroud's health (the primary swing factor for any near-term value spike) and Mills's contract status, since a strong bridge-starter case could open up once his current Houston deal runs its course. This is a hold in redraft-adjacent and deep dynasty/superflex formats where handcuff insurance has value, but not a buy target in standard-format dynasty leagues given the capped weekly upside.
The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Houston signed Mills to a contract extension keeping him under team control through the 2026 season; his efficient spot-start tape could position him for a bridge-starter opportunity elsewhere via free agency or trade once that deal runs out.
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 475 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 123 | -352 |