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Davis Allen headshot

Davis Allen

TE · #88

LAR · TE · Age 25

Redraft rank
TE83
◆TE83 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#428
ADP
TE52
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-31 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE83
vs
Market ADP
TE52
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE83 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
TE52 ADP · -31 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±104 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-25 tight ends most similar to Davis Allen's 2025 season, 1 finished TE1, 1 finished TE3, 6 finished TE4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

60%20%
  • TE110%(1)
  • TE310%(1)
  • TE4+60%(6)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range4.4 median
0.0p25–p75 2.2–4.78.5
10 most similar players
Zach Gentry94%
2022·TE62 · 2.3 PPG
Brock Wright93%
2024·TE57 · 3.5 PPG
Will Dissly91%
2021·TE51 · 4.2 PPG
Durham Smythe91%
2021·TE33 · 4.7 PPG
Ross Dwelley91%
2020·TE48 · 5.0 PPG
Kaden Smith91%
2021·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Davis Allen is a blocking-first TE buried behind Colby Parkinson, Terrance Ferguson (2025 2nd round), Max Klare (2026 2nd round), and re-signed Tyler Higbee on a Rams roster that has made multi-TE personnel a philosophical commitment. The structured data is damning for fantasy purposes: 4.2 PPG, PPR TE #44, and a target share that fell to 3% over the last month even while he held a stable 71% snap share — he is on the field to block, not catch. The 2026 second-round investment in Klare directly signals the Rams view Ferguson and Klare, not Allen, as the receiving future at the position, and Allen enters a contract year as the room's most expendable body. The only realistic catalysts are injury-driven (a multi-week fill-in role) or Higbee's potential 2027 departure consolidating the blocking role — neither of which generates dynasty-startable receiving volume. This is a clear SELL/AVOID: in deeper TE-premium leagues he's a flier worth holding only if he costs nothing, but he should be moved for any pick or warm body before camp cuts arrive. Hold only as a near-free injury lottery ticket; do not buy.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart2

    Colby Parkinson is the primary starter at tight end, with Tyler Higbee, Terrance Ferguson, and Davis Allen behind him. Allen is firmly in the second tier of the Rams' tight-end corps, despite a fair step up in production in 2025 (24-208-3 line versus 16-134-1 combined from first two seasons).

  • Target Volume

    Allen's arrow is trending down with Parkinson's emergence and Ferguson's big-play ability, and his role could remain capped even though Higbee is set to be a free agent after the season. Allen scored touchdowns in his first two games of 2025 but has failed to find paydirt since, maintaining a tepid 8-59-2 receiving line through early season.

  • Target Competition

    Terrance Ferguson (2025 first-round pick) is entering Year 2 as the Rams' TE1-in-waiting, with a rookie year marked by elite efficiency (20.8 YPR, 32.4% deep target rate). His ascending role directly compresses Allen's already minimal target share.

  • Roster Bubble

    The Rams now carry five tight ends — Higbee (re-signed 2yr/$8M), Ferguson, Parkinson, Klare (2026 R2), and Allen. Teams rarely carry more than three or four; Allen, with the lowest value and declining usage, is the obvious cut candidate heading into training camp.

  • Draft Capital

    The Rams have now invested second-round picks in consecutive years at tight end (Ferguson 2025, Klare 2026). Klare is a highly athletic pass-catcher from Ohio State explicitly drafted to build depth — his arrival directly marginalizes Allen's already-minimal target share.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Potential Role Expansion

    If Parkinson is traded, injured, or underperforms, Allen could step into a featured role in the Rams offense. The team's investment in McVay's scheme suggests opportunity for the right catalyst.

  • Higbee Free Agency

    With Higbee set to be a free agent after the season, Allen's role could increase even further in the final year of his rookie contract. If Higbee departs, Allen could operate as a secondary TE option, though Parkinson and Ferguson are ahead in line.

  • Higbee Departure

    Tyler Higbee's contract voids on February 16, 2026, and retirement speculation surrounds him. Higbee is among 20 Rams pending free agents. His departure could open additional TE snaps in 13-personnel packages.

  • Parkinson Cap Casualty

    Colby Parkinson is a cut candidate due to a big 2026 cap hit. If the Rams move on from Parkinson, Allen would compete with Ferguson for the starting role alongside McVay's heavy personnel usage.

  • Free Agency Path

    At 25, Allen could exit the Rams logjam after his 2026 contract expires and land as a TE1 or TE2 elsewhere, unlocking dynasty value he cannot access in LA. A move to a TE-needy team would be a significant re-rating catalyst.

  • Depth Chart Opening

    Higbee is on a short 2yr/$8M deal the Rams 'could easily move on from' next offseason; if he departs the blocking-TE role consolidates, though Allen is competing with Parkinson for those snaps rather than for receiving volume.

Format Comparison

Davis Allen — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest586—
PPR SF439-147