Darnell Mooney

WR · #96

NYG · WR · Age 28

Redraft rank

WR100

WR100 · Depth+62 slots of value vs ADP

Tier

Overall

#240

ADP

WR162

Consensus

Coin flip

Darnell Mooney's recent target share has risen to 23%, but he faces a crowded WR room with OBJ, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and rookie Malachi Fields set to return.

Role & trajectory

Mooney is currently the top option on an injury-thinned depth chart, commanding a recent target share of 23%, but his role could be contested once OBJ, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and rookie Malachi Fields return.

Projected outlook

Mooney's value is driven by near-term volume with the current injury situation, but he lacks long-term dynasty security on a one-year deal and faces competition from returning players.

Risk & schedule

Once Malik Nabers (ACL) and Slayton (hernia) return, Mooney's target share could be compressed by OBJ, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and rookie Malachi Fields, pushing him back to a reserve/slot-only role.

Value vs ADP+62 slots of value

Our rank

WR100

Market ADP

WR162

Projects better than the draft room is paying.

What’s driving the season rank

Case for

ADP value

WR162 ADP · +62 slots

Major

Case against

Projection rank

WR100 · proj. consensus

Notable

Source agreement

±52 rank σ · 2 sources

Notable

Neutral: Age / role

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-28 receivers most similar to Darnell Mooney's 2025 season, 2 finished WR2, 8 finished WR4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

20%80%

WR220%(2)
WR4+80%(8)

Next-season PPG range7.6 median

4.2p25–p75 5.8–12.715.2

10 most similar players

Kenny Golladay94%

2022WR149 · 3.4 PPG

Breshad Perriman91%

2021WR135 · 5.8 PPG

Chris Conley89%

2020WR86 · 6.9 PPG

Darius Slayton88%

2025WR67 · 7.1 PPG

Mike Williams85%

2021WR15 · 15.4 PPG

John Brown85%

2018WR47 · 8.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Buy-low — we value him above the market

Why

Solid usage productionAverage target shareAge 28 · veteranTDs due to regress

Expected fantasy points
Touchdown-luck regression
Opportunity share

Our view vs Market↑ 28 pts above market

Our view

Market

TD regression riskLow draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
Once the room is healthy, Mooney competes with Nabers, Slayton, rookie Malachi Fields, and June free-agent adds OBJ and JuJu Smith-Schuster; he could be pushed back toward a reserve/slot-only role.
Contract Situation
Signed only a one-year, $10M deal in March 2026, so he carries no long-term dynasty security and could land in a worse 2027 spot as an aging free agent.
Age Concerns
At 28 on an expiring contract, Mooney's dynasty horizon is short and his trade value (tier 6, ~2034) reflects a depth-piece profile with little appreciation upside.

Opportunity Flags

Usage & Volume
With Nabers (ACL) likely easing into the season and Slayton (hernia) sidelined, Mooney is positioned for elevated WR2/slot volume early; recent logs already show target share up to 23%.
Scheme Fit
Reuniting with OC Matt Nagy and pairing his vertical skill set with aggressive young QB Jaxson Dart is a clean schematic fit that could unlock downfield usage.

Format Comparison

Darnell Mooney — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,053	—
PPR SF	873	-180