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Daniel Bellinger headshot

Daniel Bellinger

TE · #59

TEN · TE · Age 25

Redraft rank
TE59
◆TE59 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#318
ADP
TE44
Consensus
Tight

Daniel Bellinger's career-high 286 receiving yards in 2025, despite playing as a secondary option behind Theo Johnson, underscores his limited upside on the current depth chart.

Role & trajectory
Bellinger operates primarily as an inline blocker and second-string tight end, with Gunnar Helm firmly established as the Titans' TE1. His role is to facilitate Helm's development, limiting his own receiving opportunities.
Projected outlook
At 25 years old, Bellinger enters his prime but faces significant competition and a clear second-string designation in Tennessee, with no realistic path to TE1 volume or targets.
Risk & schedule
Bellinger's injury history, including a torn ACL and multiple soft tissue injuries, poses durability concerns that could further limit his already constrained role and snap share.
Value vs ADP-15 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE59
vs
Market ADP
TE44
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Source agreement
±1 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE59 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
TE44 ADP · -15 slots
Major
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-25 tight ends most similar to Daniel Bellinger's 2025 season, 1 finished TE1, 8 finished TE4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

81%
  • TE19%(1)
  • TE4+81%(8)
  • Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range3.8 median
0.5p25–p75 1.9–4.48.2
10 most similar players
Harrison Bryant94%
2022·TE39 · 4.4 PPG
Durham Smythe94%
2020·TE45 · 4.5 PPG
Mo Alie-Cox87%
2019·TE75 · 1.9 PPG
Charlie Kolar86%
2024·TE63 · 4.0 PPG
Devin Asiasi85%
2021·Missed the season
MyCole Pruitt83%
2019·TE59 · 3.1 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionStrong target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↓ 8 pts below market
Our view
14
Market
22
Long career runwayThin opportunity share

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart3

    Theo Johnson is firmly entrenched as TE1 with 45-528-5 receiving line in 2025 and is valued over 2x higher (2769.0 vs 1308.0). Bellinger caught just 19-286-2 while operating as a blocking-focused secondary option.

  • Injury Concerns

    Multiple soft tissue injuries (neck, groin, eye injury requiring surgery in 2024 era) over recent seasons indicate lingering durability concerns that limit consistency and snap count reliability.

  • Role Limitation

    Both the Titans' public framing and dynasty community characterize Bellinger primarily as an inline blocker rather than a receiving weapon, hard-capping his fantasy ceiling regardless of snap share.

  • Target Competition

    Tennessee's depth chart lists Gunnar Helm as the clear ascending starter after his 44/357/2 rookie year, with Bellinger slotted as the blocking/move TE2. His role is to facilitate Helm's development, capping receiving volume.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume

    If the Giants commit to him as their primary TE1 and he stays healthy, target share could expand significantly given NYG's focus on passing game efficiency.

  • Potential Role Change

    If traded/signed elsewhere with a different TE room, Bellinger could compete for primary snaps and targets on a new team. Current Giants situation offers no realistic path to TE1 usage.

  • Change Of Scenery

    If signed elsewhere with less entrenched competition, Bellinger could compete for expanded role. At 25.4 years old, he's entering TE prime years with developmental runway if health stabilizes.

  • Depth Chart Path

    Bellinger is the first man up if Gunnar Helm misses significant time, and his 3-year contract guarantees he stays in-house as the contingency TE1 with a full route tree.

  • Injury Upside

    Bellinger is the direct beneficiary if Gunnar Helm misses significant time. As the clear next man up in Daboll's offense, even a 4-6 week Helm absence would elevate Bellinger to a startable TE1 role with Cam Ward throwing.

  • QB Development

    Cam Ward enters Year 2 under Daboll with a full offseason together. A rising dual-threat QB in a creative Daboll system could generate some TE volume in the seam and red zone, though Helm remains the primary vehicle.

Format Comparison

Daniel Bellinger — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest594—
PPR SF501-93