Players
Trades
Guillotine
Connect
Players
Trades
Guillotine
Connect
DynastyGuillotineRedraftPlayersSandbox
← Back to Player Explorer
TE #210
Dalton Schultz headshot
Dalton Schultz headshot

Dalton Schultz

Tier 11

HOU · TE · Age 29

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,146Declining

Schultz is Houston's locked-in receiving TE1 for 2026 after a 2-year, $24.1M extension ($17.6M guaranteed through 2027), and he's coming off a productive...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns

    At 29.6 years old, Schultz is entering peak decline years for the TE position. Though he had a strong 2025 season (82 rec, 777 yards), his career arc shows diminishing end-zone usage and touchdown production that limits ceiling.

  • Target Volume

    The Texans improved their WR group this offseason with a trade for Christian Kirk and a pair of Day 2 draft picks (Iowa State teammates Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel), directly competing for volume with Schultz in an offense with limited touches.

  • Target Competition

    Cade Stover missed 8 games in 2025; Schultz's career-high 106 targets were partially a vacancy fill. A fully healthy Stover in 2026 projects to reclaim 15-25 targets, directly threatening the volume that underpins Schultz's dynasty value.

  • Draft Capital

    Houston spent the 59th overall pick (R2) on TE Marlin Klein and added veteran Foster Moreau, signaling a clear succession plan. Klein projects as a blocker first but is expected to climb to the No. 2 role quickly, capping Schultz's two-year runway.

  • Injury Concerns

    Schultz left a playoff game early with a calf injury, though Texans GM Nick Caserio said "it's just a calf, I don't think it's gonna be anything major". History of shoulder and back issues compounds aging concerns.

  • Touchdown Regression

    Schultz was targeted only twice inside the opponent's 10-yard line all season in 2025, down from five in 2024. This near-zero red zone usage eliminates any meaningful TD upside despite high target volume.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Premier Offense

    Houston's offense under their current scheme has shown improvements, and Schultz remains a reliable red-zone target and safety valve for the QB.

  • Usage & Volume

    Schultz set new career highs with 82 receptions on 106 targets over 17 games, turning that volume into 777 yards and three TDs. He remains the clear #1 TE on Houston's depth chart with reliable snap count safety.

  • Cade Stover Transition

    The Texans made their call on Dalton Schultz last year. Cade Stover is waiting in the wings. While Stover hasn't emerged as immediate threat, depth replacement remains a future concern for role security.

  • Offensive Context

    C.J. Stroud operating with Nico Collins and Jayden Higgins creates one of the NFL's better passing ecosystems; any TE who secures 70+ targets here has weekly TE1 upside, giving Schultz a credible floor as long as he remains the primary receiving option.

  • Contract Situation

    The 2-year, $24.1M extension ($17.6M guaranteed through 2027, $9.5M 2026 cap hit) locks Schultz in as the unquestioned receiving TE1 for 2026 with Klein redshirting.

  • Elite Production

    Schultz was the team's No. 2 in catches and receiving yards with a sizable gap to the next option, giving him a usable veteran TE1 floor for win-now rosters at least one more year.

Scenarios (4)
  • Bridge TE1 through 2026, then Klein takes overlikely-10%

    Klein's developmental redshirt year ends; Houston pivots to the cheaper/younger option in 2027

  • Klein crowds in early, Schultz fades to TE2 productionpossible-25%

    Klein's blocking earns snaps and red-zone work faster than expected, eroding target share

  • Holds steady TE1 volume, repeats TE-streamer valuepossible+10%

    Klein stays a pure project; Stroud-led offense sustains 90+ targets to Schultz in 2026

  • Dynasty irrelevance by 2027 voidpossible-40%

    Age-30 decline plus Klein ascension; contract voids and role disappears

Format Comparison

Dalton Schultz — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,255—
PPR SF1,146-109