Risk Flags
6- Injury Concerns4
Kincaid played entire 2025 season on torn PCL from November 2024, limiting him to 12 games and career-low snap counts. While avoiding surgery, chronic knee issues raise long-term durability questions heading into final guaranteed year of rookie deal.
- Target Floor Without Health
49 targets across 12 games translates to ~65 targets annualized—far below elite TE1 expectations. Poor efficiency (6.0 YPT, 59% catch rate) suggests structural issues beyond just missing games due to injury.
- Production Efficiency
Posted career-worst 59% catch rate and 6.0 yards-per-target in 2025 despite 20.3% target share in elite Josh Allen offense. Only 39 receptions on 49 targets with career-low snaps raises questions about ability to handle increased volume even when healthy.