Risk Flags
2- TD Regression
Goedert scored 13 touchdowns against roughly 6.8 expected, a well-documented unsustainable finishing rate; even with a strong red-zone role, touchdown rate typically reverts toward the mean.
- Contract Situation
Goedert's current deal is a one-year contract with void years signed in March 2026, leaving an uncertain free-agent decision point heading into his age-32 season with no long-term security in place.