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D.J. Moore headshot

D.J. Moore

WR · #35

BUF · WR · Age 29

▲START

DJ Moore's recent 22.9 PPR points in Week 15 signals he can produce WR1-like volume, making him a START despite his WR30 value rank.

Role & volume
Moore has maintained an elite target share of 15.8% over the last four games, indicating consistent usage as a primary receiver.
Projected role
Moving to BUF presents Moore with an opportunity to maintain or even enhance his WR1-like volume due to his established track record and the team's need for production at the skill positions.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his recent performance, Moore projects a high floor of 1.7 PPR points and a ceiling capable of WR1 output, making him a reliable START option despite his WR30 value rank.
Intel may be outdated · updated 6 days ago
Current statusBUF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Slight sell-high — we value him a bit below the marketSlight
Why
Solid usage productionAverage target shareAge 29 · window closingTDs due to rebound
  • ▼Touchdown-luck regression
  • ▼Dynasty age curve
Our view vs Market↓ 17 pts below market
Our view
57
Market
74
TD rebound upsideAge-curve riskHigh draft pedigree

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • TD Regression

    Moore scored 9 TDs in 2025 against 5.7 expected (+3.3), a touchdown-luck cushion that historically regresses and would cap weekly scoring even if target volume holds.

  • Target Volume

    A 17% target share and 0.40 WOPR in 2025 reflect a solid but not target-dominant role, and Buffalo's passing game also funnels volume to Shakir, Kincaid, and Cook, which could cap him in a high-WR2 rather than true-alpha scoring band.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Moore has held Buffalo's WR1 designation on the depth chart since Week 1 with an 84%+ full-time snap share, and the team's only 2026 same-position draft capital was a Day 3 pick (Skyler Bell, R4), leaving his role effectively uncontested.

  • QB Upgrade

    The trade from Chicago in March 2026 pairs Moore with Josh Allen, a clear upgrade at QB that lifts the efficiency ceiling on his existing target share.

Format Comparison

D.J. Moore — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,173—
PPR SF2,491-682