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WR #95
D.J. Moore headshot
D.J. Moore headshot

D.J. Moore

Tier 10

BUF · WR · Age 29

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

2,351Declining

Moore was traded from Chicago to Buffalo this offseason (Bills sent a 2026 2nd, got Moore plus a 5th) and steps in as Josh Allen's clear WR1 — a genuine...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume

    Moore faces significant competition from higher-valued teammates Rome Odunze (5217), Luther Burden (4907), and TE Colston Loveland (5385), who have all emerged as primary options in Ben Johnson's offense. Moore is now viewed as the fourth option when healthy.

  • QB Receiver Chemistry

    Moore has been criticized for his route running effort, and Bears coach Ben Johnson says the chemistry between Caleb Williams and his pass catchers needs improvement. This limits upside despite scheme changes.

  • Age Curve

    At 28.8 years old, Moore is entering the typical decline phase for wide receivers, with his peak dynasty value window closing rapidly. He posted career-lows in receptions (50) and receiving yards (682) in 2025.

  • Inflated Value

    His value spiked from ~WR52 to ~WR31 on KTC purely on the trade news; dynasty analysts broadly flag this as one of the year's clearest sell-high windows before production confirms the role.

  • Age Concerns

    At 28.8 years old, Moore is in late-prime but moving into natural decline phase for WRs. Moore has emerged as one of the league's most reliable and consistent players, having missed only two games in his seven-year career while finishing each of the past six seasons as a top-25 fantasy receiver, but durability doesn't offset aging trajectory.

  • Chemistry Concerns

    Moore and Williams struggled with timing and communication throughout 2024-25, with both players acknowledging their chemistry wasn't where it needed to be. A costly playoff interception highlighted ongoing miscommunication issues.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Trade Market

    At 28 with a trade value of 3189, Moore could be moved to a contender mid-season if Chicago underperforms, creating potential win-now upside for buyers in competitive windows.

  • Improved QB Trajectory

    Williams set the franchise's single-season passing record (3,942 yards) and finished as a top-10 quarterback in passing yards and touchdowns (27) while orchestrating seven game-winning drives in Year 2. If Williams can make correctable footwork adjustments and build better rapport with receivers, the Bears could rise to being a top-five scoring offense in 2026.

  • Scheme Fit

    Moore reunites with Bills HC Joe Brady, who was his OC in Carolina during 2020-21 when Moore surpassed 1,100 receiving yards in both seasons; proven chemistry and scheme familiarity represent a genuine production tailwind.

  • QB Dependency

    Moving from a developing Caleb Williams to Josh Allen — a perennial MVP candidate — is one of the largest single-player dynasty upgrades available; Allen's accuracy and improvisation elevate every surrounding skill player.

  • Target Volume

    Escaping Chicago's loaded target room — Odunze (5150 value), Burden (4837), and Loveland (5530) all competing for Allen's looks — gives Moore a clear path to 100+ targets for the first time since his Panthers peak.

  • Offensive Context

    Moving from Chicago to Josh Allen is a massive QB and offensive-environment upgrade, restoring TD equity and big-play upside that cratered in 2025.

Scenarios (4)
  • Brady-Allen WR2 bounce-backpossible+25%

    Moore clicks with Allen by camp and posts a top-20 WR season as Buffalo's clear alpha

  • Solid WR3 floor, value normalizeslikely-5%

    Target-share spread keeps Moore in the WR24-32 range; offseason hype fades after a steady-but-unspectacular start

  • Age cliff / role erosionpossible-35%

    Coleman/Shakir ascend and a 30-year-old Moore loses snaps and target priority

  • Elite Allen connection, fringe top-15 WRunlikely+40%

    Moore becomes a true No. 1 with red-zone and deep volume in a healthy Allen offense

Format Comparison

D.J. Moore — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,039—
PPR SF2,351-688