Courtland Sutton

WR · #53

DEN · WR · Age 30

FLEX

Courtland Sutton's recent target share of 23.3% over his last four games signals a consistent role in Denver’s passing game, but his WR34 value rank limits upside.

Role & volume

Sutton has maintained a high snap share of 85.5% and an average target share of 23.3% over the last four games, indicating he is Denver's primary receiver.

Projected role

With recent coaching changes under Sean Payton and Bill Belichick, Sutton’s role could evolve, but his WR34 value rank suggests a FLEX profile rather than a clear-cut starting option.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Sutton's floor is low at 1.5 PPR points from the last four games, while his ceiling remains capped by his WR34 value rank, making him a FLEX with limited upside.

Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago

Current statusDEN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Strong usage productionStrong target shareAge 30 · window closing

Our view vs Market↑ 4 pts above market

Our view

Market

Age-curve riskElite target shareProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
Jaylen Waddle's addition to Denver shifted Sutton to the depth chart's WR2 spot, capping his target-share ceiling and touchdown equity even though he remains heavily involved.
Injury Concerns
Sutton has dealt with a concussion evaluation and a minor strain during the 2026 offseason/early season, a pattern worth monitoring given his age and workload.

Opportunity Flags

Usage & Volume
Underlying 2025 workload metrics (24% target share, 0.63 WOPR, 39% air-yards share, 86% snaps) show Sutton remains the offense's primary downfield option regardless of his WR2 depth-chart label.

Format Comparison

Courtland Sutton — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	2,076	—
PPR SF	1,752	-324

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

2,076

—

PPR SF

1,752

-324