Opportunity Flags
1- Youth Upside
Young TE (22) — still in value appreciation phase
Colston Loveland
TE · #3CHI · TE · Age 22
Redraft rank
TE3
TE3 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#78
ADP
TE3
Consensus
Some split
Colston Loveland enters Year 2 with a rookie-TE-record 193 receiving yards across two playoff games, setting the stage for an expanded role in Ben Johnson's offense.
Role & trajectory
Loveland's target share rose to 26%, 45%, and 33% over Weeks 17-19 last season, indicating a strong finish that is expected to carry into the upcoming year.
Projected outlook
At 22 years old, Loveland's value is appreciating rapidly after a top-5 PPR TE rookie season (58/713/6), with fantasy projections pegging him as consensus TE3 and a realistic path to overall TE1.
Risk & schedule
The Bears' pass-catching corps is loaded, with Odunze, Burden, Kmet, and Swift all commanding work, which caps Loveland's weekly ceiling relative to target-monopoly TEs.
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
TE3
Market ADP
TE3
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorMinorMinor
Case for
Projection rank
TE3 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±7 rank σ · 2 sources
Age / role
age 22 TE
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Of the 10 age-21 tight ends most similar to Colston Loveland's 2025 season, 4 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 2 finished TE3, 1 finished TE4+, 2 missed the season.
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
40%21%21%
- TE140%(4)
- TE29%(1)
- TE321%(2)
- TE4+9%(1)
- Missed season21%(2)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season PPG range8.0 median
0.0p25–p75 4.1–11.111.6
10 most similar players
Kyle Pitts87%
2022TE34 · 7.6 PPG
Hunter Henry86%
2018Missed the season
Greg Dulcich82%
2023Missed the season
Cole Kmet81%
2022TE12 · 8.7 PPG
Evan Engram80%
2018TE12 · 11.5 PPG
T.J. Hockenson79%
2020TE6 · 11.0 PPG
+4 more analogs
Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)
Format Comparison
Colston Loveland — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 5,237 | — |
| PPR SF | 4,843 | -394 |