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Colston Loveland headshot

Colston Loveland

TE · #3

CHI · TE · Age 22

Redraft rank
TE3
▲TE3 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#78
ADP
TE3
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
TE3
vs
Market ADP
TE3
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
TE3 · proj. consensus
Major
+
Source agreement
±7 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
+
Age / role
age 22 TE
Minor
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-21 tight ends most similar to Colston Loveland's 2025 season, 4 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 2 finished TE3, 1 finished TE4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

40%21%21%
  • TE140%(4)
  • TE29%(1)
  • TE321%(2)
  • TE4+9%(1)
  • Missed season21%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range8.0 median
0.0p25–p75 4.1–11.111.6
10 most similar players
Kyle Pitts87%
2022·TE34 · 7.6 PPG
Hunter Henry86%
2018·Missed the season
Greg Dulcich82%
2023·Missed the season
Cole Kmet81%
2022·TE12 · 8.7 PPG
Evan Engram80%
2018·TE12 · 11.5 PPG
T.J. Hockenson79%
2020·TE6 · 11.0 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Loveland enters Year 2 as Chicago's entrenched TE1 coming off a historic rookie season — 58/713/6 in the regular season, a #5 PPR finish at the position, and a rookie-TE-record 193 receiving yards across two playoff games before a concussion (since resolved) knocked him out of the divisional-round overtime loss to the Rams. Current reporting confirms he is healthy and that Ben Johnson plans to expand his role in 2026, with his late-season usage surge (26-45% target share Weeks 17-19) the template rather than the outlier. The Bears' third-round pick of Sam Roush is scheme reinforcement, not a threat — Roush slots in as a blocking TE3 behind Loveland and Kmet and is not expected to factor meaningfully into the passing game. The real catalysts are whether his target share consolidates above the 18% season-long baseline in a crowded weapon corps (Odunze, Burden, Kmet, Swift), and the compounding value of a 22-year-old attached to Caleb Williams in one of the NFC's ascending offenses. Verdict: BUY now if his price still reflects last year's tier rather than his trajectory — young elite-producing TEs at this age almost exclusively appreciate, and the acquisition window closes once a full TE1-overall-caliber season prices in; for holders, this is a core long-term hold with no sell case short of a genuinely elite overpay.

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Youth Upside

    Young TE (22) — still in value appreciation phase

Format Comparison

Colston Loveland — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest5,237—
PPR SF4,843-394