Risk Flags
6- Depth Chart
Kmet frequently operated as a blocker in two-tight-end sets alongside rookie first-round pick Colston Loveland, catching two or three passes in five straight contests. Loveland had a breakout season and Caleb Williams has much more rapport with Loveland than Kmet.
- Trade Release Likelihood
Kmet has a dead cap hit of just $3.2 million, allowing the Bears to save $8.4 million by either trading or releasing him. It does not seem likely that he will be back with the Bears next season.
- Target Volume
Kmet finished the regular season with 30 receptions (on 48 targets) for 347 yards and two touchdowns while catching two or fewer passes in all but three games, marking a significant decline from his 2024 production.
- Cap Casualty Trade
Kmet faces imminent trade or release with $11.6M cap hit and only $3.2M dead cap, allowing Bears to save $8.4M. Multiple reports confirm trade discussions active, with Bleacher Report projecting fifth-round compensation from Panthers or other TE-needy teams.
- Role Deterioration
Production collapsed to 30 receptions for 347 yards and 2 TDs in 2025 as Colston Loveland emerged as the primary pass-catching tight end. Kmet relegated to blocking role in Ben Johnson's offense, catching two or fewer passes in five straight games late in season.
- Usage & Volume
Chicago's heavy 12/13-personnel keeps Kmet on the field (77% snaps in the divisional round) but caps his fantasy ceiling — snaps without targets do not translate to dynasty value.