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TE #276
Cole Kmet headshot
Cole Kmet headshot

Cole Kmet

Tier 14

CHI · TE · Age 27

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

791Declining

Cole Kmet is a locked-in TE2 in Chicago behind ascending rookie Colston Loveland, who is firmly the primary tight end after a 58/713/6 debut.

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Kmet frequently operated as a blocker in two-tight-end sets alongside rookie first-round pick Colston Loveland, catching two or three passes in five straight contests. Loveland had a breakout season and Caleb Williams has much more rapport with Loveland than Kmet.

  • Trade Release Likelihood

    Kmet has a dead cap hit of just $3.2 million, allowing the Bears to save $8.4 million by either trading or releasing him. It does not seem likely that he will be back with the Bears next season.

  • Target Volume

    Kmet finished the regular season with 30 receptions (on 48 targets) for 347 yards and two touchdowns while catching two or fewer passes in all but three games, marking a significant decline from his 2024 production.

  • Cap Casualty Trade

    Kmet faces imminent trade or release with $11.6M cap hit and only $3.2M dead cap, allowing Bears to save $8.4M. Multiple reports confirm trade discussions active, with Bleacher Report projecting fifth-round compensation from Panthers or other TE-needy teams.

  • Role Deterioration

    Production collapsed to 30 receptions for 347 yards and 2 TDs in 2025 as Colston Loveland emerged as the primary pass-catching tight end. Kmet relegated to blocking role in Ben Johnson's offense, catching two or fewer passes in five straight games late in season.

  • Usage & Volume

    Chicago's heavy 12/13-personnel keeps Kmet on the field (77% snaps in the divisional round) but caps his fantasy ceiling — snaps without targets do not translate to dynasty value.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • QB Upgrade

    Chicago's QB situation could improve significantly in 2025 offseason through free agency or draft, which would directly elevate Kmet's target share and efficiency from improved play-calling and accuracy.

  • Roster Move

    A trade to a TE-needy contender (Ravens, 49ers, and Broncos all reported as suitors) would immediately restore Kmet as a TE1 with real target share. At 27 with a reliable floor as a blocker and pass-catcher, he holds genuine appeal for a team lacking a proven starter.

  • Target Opportunity

    If Chicago addresses pass-catching depth in the draft, Kmet could remain the primary TE option with increased red zone usage and route opportunities, positioning him for TE1 upside.

  • Change Of Scenery

    A trade away from Chicago to a TE-needy team could reset his role. Teams with less target competition could unlock utilization and TE1 upside.

  • Injury Upside

    Kmet's elevated 77% snap share means he would slot into the TE1 role immediately if Loveland misses time. In Ben Johnson's scheme with Caleb Williams throwing, that scenario carries real fantasy upside on a week-to-week basis.

  • Trade Destination

    Multiple TE-needy teams including the Panthers and Ravens have been reported as trade targets; a move to a new team where Kmet is the clear TE1 would be the single largest dynasty value catalyst available to him.

Scenarios (4)
  • Locked-in Bears TE2 / blocking rolelikely-5%

    Loveland remains healthy and primary; Bears keep heavy two-TE sets

  • Traded to a TE-needy team as a starterpossible+15%

    A contender (e.g. Carolina/KC type) overpays after a TE injury elsewhere; Bears get pass-rush help

  • Loveland injury restores full TE1 roleunlikely+30%

    Loveland misses extended time, returning Kmet to 6-7 target volume

  • Phased out by Roush / declining touchespossible-20%

    Roush develops and Bears reduce Kmet's snaps to cut 2027 cap ($15.4M)

Format Comparison

Cole Kmet — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest942—
PPR SF791-151