Christian Kirk

WR · #111

SF · WR · Age 29

SIT

Christian Kirk's recent injury status and his WR126 value rank signal a SIT lean for the season-long projection.

Role & volume

Kirk's trailing average target share of 13% indicates he was seeing moderate usage in Houston, but this is now outdated given his recent injury and team change.

Projected role

With Kirk on IR and Deebo Samuel returning to the 49ers lineup, Christian's new role on SF looks limited despite a potential for opportunity with a fresh start; however, current roster status suggests he is not in line for significant snaps or targets.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Given his injury and the depth of talent at San Francisco, Kirk's season-long projection has a low floor and ceiling, aligning with his WR126 value rank.

Intel may be outdated · updated 44 days ago

Current statusSF

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Buy-low — we value him above the market

Why

Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 29 · window closingTDs due to regress

Touchdown-luck regression
Expected fantasy points
Draft-capital pedigree

Our view vs Market↑ 23 pts above market

Our view

Market

Age-curve riskTD regression risk

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
Mike Evans and Ricky Pearsall sit ahead of Kirk on the depth chart, Demarcus Robinson offers direct competition, and a second-round pick spent on De'Zhaun Stribling further narrows Kirk's path to more than a complementary target share once he returns.

Format Comparison

Christian Kirk — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	836	—
PPR SF	682	-154

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