Risk Flags
1- Target Volume
Target share has sat near 0% through his first game and across his 2025 sample (1% target share, 0.02 WOPR), capping his weekly floor to touchdown-dependent rushing production with no receiving-game safety net.
Chris Rodriguez
RB · #47JAX · RB · Age 26
FLEX
Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s recent carry share of 39.0% in a single game indicates he can handle significant rushing volume, but his inconsistent usage across the last four games suggests volatility.
Role & volume
Rodriguez's trailing average carry share of 43.5% over the past four games shows he has been a primary ball carrier for Washington.
Projected role
Moving to Jacksonville, Rodriguez is expected to maintain his high-volume rushing role as the team's lead back, given his recent performance and opportunity share with Washington.
Range (floor–ceiling)
With a PPR average of 11.1 points over the last four games, Rodriguez offers a floor of around 5.2 PPR points but can exceed 15 PPR points in high-volume weeks.
Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago
Current statusJAX
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionStrong carry shareAge 26 · peak window
Our view vs Market↓ 4 pts below market
Our view
37
Market
41
Thin opportunity share
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)
Opportunity Flags
2- Elite Production
As a power back reunited with HC Liam Coen (his 2021 Kentucky OC), Rodriguez profiles as a candidate for short-yardage and goal-line work, which could spike weekly output even within a limited-touch role.
- Draft Capital
Jacksonville's 2026 draft class added no running back, so Rodriguez's path to the complementary/early-down role and any backup snaps behind Tuten remains unthreatened by rookie competition.
Format Comparison
Chris Rodriguez — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 1,619 | — |
| PPR SF | 1,378 | -241 |