Risk Flags
3- TD Regression Risk
Olave scored 9 TDs against roughly 6.0 expected (+3.0), a finishing-luck overperformance that historically regresses and could soften scoring output even if his target volume holds steady.
- Target Volume
New Orleans spent three 2026 draft picks on the WR room, headlined by Jordyn Tyson at No. 8 overall as the new WR2; reporting frames Tyson as complementary rather than a direct threat, but it's the first real target competition Olave has faced as a Saint.
- Injury Concerns
Olave remained on a limited practice workload at mandatory minicamp while finishing recovery from the January 2026 pulmonary blood clot that cost him the 2025 finale; the team calls it a precaution with no setbacks reported, but full-contact clearance for camp is worth tracking.