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WR #139
Chris Godwin headshot
Chris Godwin headshot

Chris Godwin

Tier 11

TBB · WR · Age 30

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,652Declining

Godwin enters 2026 as Tampa Bay's veteran WR2 behind ascending alpha Emeka Egbuka, with his outlook materially improved by Mike Evans' departure to San...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

7
  • Injury Concerns

    Godwin didn't make his season debut until Week 4 while completing his recovery from a 2024 ankle injury, and after posting matching three-catch efforts in his first two games, he went on to log five consecutive absences due to a fibula injury. This pattern of recurring lower-body injuries (ACL 2021, ankle 2024, fibula 2025) significantly impacts durability and upside.

  • Target Volume

    Emeka Egbuka (dynasty value 5762, 2025 OROY finalist) is entrenched as Tampa Bay's WR1, Ted Hurst was added in Round 3, and Godwin's W18 target share collapsed to just 5%. Even healthy, Godwin is operating as a secondary option behind a younger, more valuable receiver.

  • Declining Efficiency

    Godwin failed to hit the 50-catch mark for the first time since his rookie 2017 campaign and finished with a career-low 7.1 yards per target. His 2025 season was a significant step backward from his explosive 2024 start.

  • Contract Restructure Trade Risk

    Godwin carries a $33.7 million cap hit in 2026, with multiple reports indicating the Buccaneers are exploring trades or restructures. The team may move on from him this offseason to create cap space and prioritize younger receivers like Egbuka and McMillan.

  • Age Concerns

    WR age 30 — approaching decline phase

  • Cap Hit Restructure Risk

    Godwin is under contract for the 2026 season at a significant cap hit of $33.7 million thanks to a $22 million base salary, so a restructuring or potential parting of the ways appears to be in the cards this offseason. Trade or release possible if Bucs prioritize younger WRs.

  • Contract Situation

    Godwin's $33.7M cap hit in 2026 is the highest of any WR in the NFL, creating pressure on the Buccaneers to restructure, trade, or eventually release him. Multiple reports have flagged him as a potential trade asset, meaning dynasty owners risk holding through a disruptive team change.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Baker Mayfield Chemistry

    Godwin is seemingly Baker Mayfield's top target. The two have strong on-field chemistry, and Mayfield's continuation as QB ensures continued target opportunities when healthy.

  • Prior Elite Pace

    In his seven games, the veteran receiver averaged 19.7 fantasy PPG and caught 79% of his passes, both of which ranked second at the position. Godwin scored five TDs in seven games. If fully healthy for a full season, he can still produce at elite WR1-2 level.

  • Mayfield Chemistry

    When healthy in 2025, Godwin averaged 19.7 fantasy PPG with 5 TDs in 7 games, demonstrating elite per-game production and maintained chemistry with Baker Mayfield. A full healthy season could yield WR2 upside.

  • Buy Low Window

    Godwin's dynasty value has cratered to tier 6 (trade value: 2699) after his disastrous 2025 season. If he stays in Tampa and returns to health, there's significant upside for contending teams willing to bet on a bounce-back at depressed cost.

  • Target Volume

    Mike Evans' departure to the San Francisco 49ers opens up a significant volume of targets in Tampa Bay's passing offense. Godwin is the most experienced option to absorb a portion of those looks alongside Egbuka, and his veteran rapport with Mayfield gives him an edge for high-leverage situations.

  • Offensive Context

    New OC Zac Robinson is installing a retooled offense, and GM Jason Licht publicly stated Godwin 'looks like he's back to himself' this spring. Organizational optimism and a scheme reset can sometimes re-energize veteran receivers — monitor camp reports closely.

Scenarios (4)
  • Healthy WR2, Evans vacancy boostpossible+18%

    Stays healthy and absorbs Evans' vacated targets/red-zone looks as Tampa's clear No. 2

  • Injury recurrence, third lost seasonpossible-30%

    Re-aggravation of lower-leg injury or new soft-tissue issue limits games again

  • Traded out of Tampapossible-10%

    Cap-driven trade (e.g., Browns/Monken reunion) lands him in a worse offense or unclear role

  • Age-driven decline accelerateslikely-15%

    Age-30 efficiency erosion plus Egbuka/rookie ascension shrinks his role year-over-year

Format Comparison

Chris Godwin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,898—
PPR SF1,652-246