Risk Flags
1- Age Concerns
RB age 26 — entering/past typical value cliff
Chase Brown
RB · #12CIN · RB · Age 26
START
Chase Brown's consistent carry share above 50% over the last four games signals he is a workhorse back for Cincinnati, making him a reliable weekly starter.
Role & volume
Over his last four games, Chase Brown has maintained an average carry share of 46.2%, with three out of those four games seeing him above the 50% threshold, indicating he is a primary ball carrier for Cincinnati.
Projected role
Our value ranks Chase Brown as RB8, projecting him to continue in his established role as the lead back with high rushing volume and consistent snap share of around 60%, making him a dependable starter throughout the season.
Range (floor–ceiling)
With an average PPR score of 24.2 points over his last four games, Brown's floor is set at 16 points and his ceiling remains high due to his workhorse role, ensuring he offers solid weekly value.
Intel updated: 5 hours ago
Current statusCIN
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite carry shareAge 26 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 7 pts above market
Our view
92
Market
85
Elite carry shareProducing above value
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)
Format Comparison
Chase Brown — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 5,192 | — |
| PPR SF | 4,397 | -795 |