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Cade Stover headshot

Cade Stover

TE · #60

HOU · TE · Age 26

Redraft rank
TE60
◆TE60 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#323
ADP
TE51
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-9 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE60
vs
Market ADP
TE51
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE60 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
TE51 ADP · -9 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±35 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 tight ends most similar to Cade Stover, 2 finished TE1, 2 finished TE2, 2 finished TE3, 4 finished TE4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

22%16%49%
  • TE122%(2)
  • TE216%(2)
  • TE313%(2)
  • TE4+49%(4)
Year-two PPG range5.9 median
2.4p25–p75 3.9–7.410.9
10 most similar players
Luke Schoonmaker97%
2024·TE37 · 5.7 PPG
Charlie Kolar92%
2024·TE45 · 4.0 PPG
Jake Ferguson87%
2023·TE7 · 11.9 PPG
Luke Musgrave76%
2024·TE50 · 1.6 PPG
Dalton Kincaid62%
2024·TE23 · 7.1 PPG
Cade Otton56%
2023·TE12 · 8.4 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Cade Stover enters 2026 as a blocking-first TE4 in Houston, buried behind a freshly-extended Dalton Schultz (career-high 82 catches), veteran Foster Moreau, and 2nd-round rookie Marlin Klein, with beat writers openly questioning whether Stover makes the 53-man roster. He is actively cross-training as a blocking fullback in OC Nick Caley's scheme, confirming a run-game identity over any pass-catching path — his 3.2 PPG, #61 PPR season and declining 7% target share underscore the fantasy irrelevance. The knee injury from the divisional-round loss is a non-issue, as he's healthy in OTAs, but the real problem is volume: Klein's draft capital makes him the heir to Schultz, leaving Stover with only thin Schultz-injury contingency value. Catalysts to monitor are roster cutdowns (downside) and any Schultz injury (modest upside that more likely flows to Klein anyway). This is a clear SELL/AVOID — in deeper dynasty leagues, package him as a throw-in now while the name carries minor value; in standard formats he is a drop candidate with no near-term path to fantasy relevance over the next 1-2 years.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 26 · ascendingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 10 pts above market
Our view
29
Market
19
Long career runwayTD regression risk

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Draft Capital2

    Marlin Klein (6'6", 248 lbs) was a genuine R2 investment at Stover's position — scouts praised his in-line blocking and athleticism (4.61 40, 36" vert). Klein is the long-term heir behind Schultz and directly competes for any TE2 snaps Stover was hoping to earn.

  • Secondary Pass Catcher

    Stover continued a support role at tight end behind starter Dalton Schultz and since returning from a foot injury has seven catches (10 targets) for 45 yards in limited action, indicating minimal pass-game involvement behind the entrenched starter.

  • Injury Concerns

    Stover has suffered multiple significant injuries in his first two NFL seasons including a broken foot (Week 1, 2025 season) and partial MCL/PCL tears (January 2026 playoffs), demonstrating durability concerns that could continue to limit availability and role development.

  • Depth Chart

    Dalton Schultz is locked in through 2026 on a three-year, $36 million contract signed in March 2024 with $23.5 million guaranteed and produced 82 catches for 777 yards and 3 TDs in 2025, cementing his role as the clear TE1 and leaving Stover with minimal path to significant targets.

  • Target Volume

    Stover is the No. 3-4 TE behind a healthy Dalton Schultz (106 targets last year), veteran Foster Moreau, and now rookie Marlin Klein. Last-4-game target share sits at 6-9% with a 3.2 PPG, #61 TE season — he's a blocker, not a pass-game asset.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns2

    If Dalton Schultz suffers injury, Stover becomes Houston's primary TE with immediate high-volume opportunity in an improving Texans offense. He flashed receiving ability at Ohio State and could be league-relevant overnight.

  • Depth Chart

    Schultz racked up 82 catches for 777 yards and three touchdowns in 2025, but the depth chart lists Stover second behind Schultz. With Schultz's age (29) and recent calf injury, there is a window for acceleration if the starter declines or gets injured.

  • Offensive System Fit

    Houston's offense under 2024 showed willingness to use multiple TEs. Stover's athletic profile and recent reps suggest potential for role expansion if targets are distributed and he earns snap count growth.

  • Schultz Contract Out

    Schultz's 2026 base salary is non-guaranteed at $11 million, creating a potential post-June 1 cut or trade scenario that could open the starting job for Stover heading into the 2027 season when he'd be 27 years old.

  • Offensive Context

    C.J. Stroud is a top-tier dynasty QB who elevates every pass-catcher. Even a modest expansion to 12-15% target share with Stroud translates to high-end TE2 production, a ceiling most backup TEs cannot reach.

Format Comparison

Cade Stover — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest548—
PPR SF476-72