Risk Flags
6- Receiving Decline 2025
Otton finished 2025 with 52 receptions and 478 receiving yards (ranked 23rd), 0 receiving touchdowns, and 72 targets (14th), representing a significant step back from previous years. He ranked 34th of 37 qualifying TEs in PFF's overall grade (57.4) and 36th of 37 in receiving grade (58.1).
- Target Volume
The Buccaneers have three fantasy-relevant pass-catchers (Egbuka, Godwin, McMillan) making it fairly rare to have all three available at the same time. With Emeka Egbuka as a first-round talent commanding targets, Otton's volume will remain capped.
- Contract Situation
Otton's contract expired after the 2025 season and he is currently an unrestricted free agent. Multiple reports suggest the Buccaneers may not re-sign him due to his $9.97M APY valuation, potentially leading to a team change that could impact his role and target share.
- Declining Production
Otton finished 2025 with just 52 receptions for 478 yards and 0 TDs (ranked 23rd at position), representing a significant step back from previous years. His PFF grades ranked 34th of 37 qualifying TEs overall (57.4) and 36th of 37 in receiving grade (58.1).
- QB Volatility Uncertainty
Baker Mayfield's play collapsed in the second half of 2025 and he is described as among the most volatile starting quarterbacks in the NFL. While the Bucs won't change QBs in 2026, the organization faces questions about whether to extend Mayfield's contract, creating uncertainty.
- Scheme Transition
Zac Robinson takes over as OC in his first year running Tampa Bay's offense, introducing scheme adjustment risk. While Robinson's McVay-tree system has historically featured TEs, Year 1 install periods often produce inconsistent usage before role clarity emerges.